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Shirak Gyumri 2 vs Noah 2

Armenia Armenia

First League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Shirak Gyumri 2 play Noah 2 in the First League. Noah 2 are favorites here. Recently, Shirak Gyumri 2 averaged 1.13 goals scored and 2.97 conceded. Noah 2 averaged 1.3 goals scored and 1.93 conceded. In past meetings, Shirak Gyumri 2 won 1, Noah 2 won 4, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 21, 2026 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.56 for Shirak Gyumri 2 and 1.81 for Noah 2. This points to a Noah 2 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Shirak Gyumri 2
15%
Draws
59%
Noah 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Noah 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Shirak Gyumri 2 picked up more points recently compared to Noah 2.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.56 vs 1.81 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 60%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 78%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Over 3.5 Goals 36%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 46%
Shirak Gyumri 2 Clean Sheet 11%
Noah 2 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 70%
Second Half Goal 74%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shirak Gyumri 2 Noah 2
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 8
Draws 6 7
Losses 20 15
Goals Scored 1.13 1.3
Goals Conceded 2.97 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.88 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 21, 2026 First League
Noah 2 vs Shirak Gyumri 2
3:0
Nov 4, 2025 First League
Shirak Gyumri 2 vs Noah 2
2:4
May 19, 2025 First League
Noah 2 vs Shirak Gyumri 2
0:2
Nov 10, 2024 First League
Shirak Gyumri 2 vs Noah 2
1:5
Mar 4, 2024 First League
Shirak Gyumri 2 vs Noah 2
0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shirak Gyumri 2 26 / 100
Noah 2 55 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shirak Gyumri 2 Noah 2

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Noah 2 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Noah 2 & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +44.6%
5.56
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.85
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Shirak Gyumri 2 attacking → ← attacking Noah 2

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shirak Gyumri 2 scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Noah 2 let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Shirak Gyumri 2 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Noah 2 lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

18 Points in last 5 31
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.75
2.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Sardarapat30244281:1876
2BKMA 230225377:3171
3Hayq30222659:2468
4Syunik30221783:2667
5Andranik30213676:3066
6Pyunik Yerevan 2301281043:4344
7Ararat Yerevan 2301221643:5838
8Araks Ararat301141538:5137
9Urartu 230991246:5436
10Noah 230871539:5831
11Bentonit30781533:4929
12Mika30771632:6028
13Ararat-Armenia 230661846:6224
14Van 230661833:5824
15Lernayin Artsakh30722122:7423
16Shirak Gyumri 230462034:8918