Sport Picks

Armenia

Premier League 2025/2026 Gyumri City Stadium

Shirak Gyumri

0 - 2

Ararat Yerevan

Our Tip

Match Events

35'

Ukadike D.

46'

Sub

Ukadike D. In: Aslanyan A.

Out: Ukadike D.

55'

Karagulyan R.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Ararat Yerevan in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ararat Yerevan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Shirak Gyumri

Draws

Ararat Yerevan

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Shirak Gyumri

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Ararat Yerevan have won more games recently than Shirak Gyumri.
Model gives Shirak Gyumri a 90% chance of winning this.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 69%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%

Shirak Gyumri Clean Sheet 68%

Ararat Yerevan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Shirak Gyumri	Ararat Yerevan
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	5	7
Draws	6	5
Losses	18	17
Goals Scored	0.38	1.13
Goals Conceded	1.63	2.25
Expected Goals (xG)	0.38	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.63	2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2026 Premier League

Shirak Gyumri vs Ararat Yerevan

Possession: 44% - 41% Cards: 2 - 2

0:2

Jan 31, 2026 Club Friendly

Ararat Yerevan vs Shirak Gyumri

Possession: 49% - 44% Cards: 2 - 1

1:0

Nov 9, 2025 Premier League

Ararat Yerevan vs Shirak Gyumri

Possession: 52% - 48% Cards: 3 - 1

0:0

Sep 12, 2025 Premier League

Shirak Gyumri vs Ararat Yerevan

Possession: 47% - 41% Cards: 2 - 3

4:2

Apr 8, 2025 Premier League

Shirak Gyumri vs Ararat Yerevan

Possession: 47% - 57% Cards: 1 - 3

1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shirak Gyumri Compare

Avg xG / game 0.29

Avg xA / game 0.19

Ararat Yerevan Compare

Top Goalscorer Doumbia K.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.03

Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shirak Gyumri 95 / 100

Ararat Yerevan 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Shirak Gyumri Ararat Yerevan

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SHI Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ararat Yerevan has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Shirak Gyumri stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Shirak Gyumri scored in 45% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

Shirak Gyumri VS Ararat Yerevan

0.38 Goals Scored 1.13

1.63 Goals Conceded 2.25

63% Over 1.5 75%

25% Over 2.5 38%

25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ararat-Armenia	27	18	6	3	50:25	60
2	Noah	27	16	8	3	61:19	56
3	Pyunik Yerevan	27	17	4	6	37:18	55
4	Alashkert	27	16	5	6	42:23	53
5	Urartu	27	14	7	6	43:26	49
6	Van	27	9	4	14	27:40	31
7	BKMA	27	4	11	12	30:42	23
8	FC Gandzasar	27	5	6	16	20:41	21
9	Ararat Yerevan	27	3	4	20	21:63	13
10	Shirak Gyumri	27	2	7	18	17:51	13