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Shirak Gyumri vs BKMA - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Armenia Armenia

Premier League Gyumri City Stadium, Gyumri
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Shirak Gyumri host BKMA in the Premier League. This one's hard to separate. BKMA have shipped 1.59 goals a game lately, while Shirak Gyumri have conceded 1.57 and scored 0.86. Past meetings favor Shirak Gyumri slightly — 1-1-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 1, 2026, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.25 xG vs 0.94) point toward BKMA. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Shirak Gyumri
15%
Draws
46%
BKMA
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: BKMA

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to BKMA lately — more wins on the board than Shirak Gyumri.
  • Win probability leans Shirak Gyumri's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Shirak Gyumri Clean Sheet 20%
BKMA Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shirak Gyumri BKMA
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 6 7
Draws 4 9
Losses 18 13
Goals Scored 0.86 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Premier League
BKMA vs Shirak Gyumri
0:0
Jul 4, 2026 Club Friendly
BKMA vs Shirak Gyumri
2:3
Apr 16, 2026 Premier League
Shirak Gyumri vs BKMA
1:1
Apr 12, 2026 Premier League
BKMA vs Shirak Gyumri
0:0
Aug 16, 2025 Premier League
BKMA vs Shirak Gyumri
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shirak Gyumri 40 / 100
BKMA 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shirak Gyumri BKMA

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shirak Gyumri Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

BKMA's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Shirak Gyumri scored in 39% of their last 28 games.

Recent resilience: Shirak Gyumri stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Shirak Gyumri VS BKMA
1.25 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Shirak Gyumri

(Home)
12 Oct
Syunik
2 : 0
Shirak Gyumri
20 Sept
Shirak Gyumri
1 : 3
Ararat-Armenia
13 Sept
Pyunik Yerevan
2 : 0
Shirak Gyumri
06 Sept
Shirak Gyumri
2 : 0
Sardarapat
29 Aug
Van
0 : 4
Shirak Gyumri
Page 1 of 6

BKMA

(Away)
12 Oct
Pyunik Yerevan
5 : 0
BKMA
19 Sept
BKMA
1 : 1
Sardarapat
11 Sept
Van
2 : 1
BKMA
06 Sept
BKMA
2 : 1
Urartu
30 Aug
FC Gandzasar
0 : 3
BKMA
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Noah 9 9 0 0 26:6 27
2 Pyunik Yerevan 9 6 3 0 23:8 21
3 Ararat-Armenia 9 6 2 1 18:9 20
4 Alashkert 9 4 4 1 19:7 16
5 Urartu 9 3 3 3 14:12 12
6 Sardarapat 9 3 3 3 15:17 12
7 Shirak Gyumri 9 3 1 5 11:12 10
8 Ararat Yerevan 9 3 1 5 8:15 10
9 BKMA 9 2 2 5 8:15 8
10 Van 9 2 1 6 6:21 7
11 Syunik 9 1 2 6 5:17 5
12 FC Gandzasar 9 1 0 8 8:22 3
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - First League 2027/2028 (Main)