Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Shirak Gyumri vs FC Gandzasar

Armenia Armenia

Premier League 2025/2026 Gyumri City Stadium, Gyumri
Our Tip

Match Events

40'
Khachatryan A.
45'
Hayrapetyan V.
45'
Merrill L.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Shirak Gyumri and FC Gandzasar finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Shirak Gyumri.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Shirak Gyumri
6%
Draws
4%
FC Gandzasar
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Shirak Gyumri

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • FC Gandzasar carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Shirak Gyumri are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Shirak Gyumri Clean Sheet 68%
FC Gandzasar Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shirak Gyumri FC Gandzasar
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 5 6
Draws 6 7
Losses 18 16
Goals Scored 0.38 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.63 2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Premier League
FC Gandzasar vs Shirak Gyumri
3:2
Nov 22, 2025 Premier League
Shirak Gyumri vs FC Gandzasar
1:0
Aug 30, 2025 Premier League
FC Gandzasar vs Shirak Gyumri
1:1
May 17, 2025 Premier League
FC Gandzasar vs Shirak Gyumri
1:0
Oct 31, 2024 Premier League
Shirak Gyumri vs FC Gandzasar
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shirak Gyumri Compare

Top Goalscorer Misakyan R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.29
Avg xA / game 0.19

FC Gandzasar Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shirak Gyumri 95 / 100
FC Gandzasar 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shirak Gyumri FC Gandzasar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SHI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Away concern: FC Gandzasar has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

FC Gandzasar's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Shirak Gyumri went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Shirak Gyumri VS FC Gandzasar
0.38 Goals Scored 0.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Shirak Gyumri

(Home)
11 Jul
Shirak Gyumri
5 : 0
Andranik
04 Jul
BKMA
2 : 3
Shirak Gyumri
26 May
Alashkert
2 : 0
Shirak Gyumri
18 May
Shirak Gyumri
0 : 0
Urartu
08 May
Van
1 : 0
Shirak Gyumri
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FC Gandzasar

(Away)
11 Jul
BKMA
2 : 0
FC Gandzasar
27 May
Ararat-Armenia
1 : 0
FC Gandzasar
18 May
FC Gandzasar
0 : 2
Pyunik Yerevan
09 May
Alashkert
3 : 1
FC Gandzasar
06 May
FC Gandzasar
1 : 4
Noah
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ararat-Armenia27186350:2560
2Noah27168361:1956
3Pyunik Yerevan27174637:1855
4Alashkert27165642:2353
5Urartu27147643:2649
6Van27941427:4031
7BKMA274111230:4223
8FC Gandzasar27561620:4121
9Ararat Yerevan27342021:6313
10Shirak Gyumri27271817:5113
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - First League (Main)