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Shirak Gyumri vs Sardarapat - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Armenia Armenia

Premier League Gyumri City Stadium, Gyumri
Our Tip

Match Events

15'
Darbinyan L.
19' Event
Misakyan R.
38'
Kodia D.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Shirak Gyumri and Sardarapat finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Shirak Gyumri.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Shirak Gyumri
20%
Draws
36%
Sardarapat
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Shirak Gyumri

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Sardarapat carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Shirak Gyumri a 44% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Shirak Gyumri Clean Sheet 68%
Sardarapat Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shirak Gyumri Sardarapat
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 6 13
Draws 4 10
Losses 17 4
Goals Scored 0.89 2
Goals Conceded 1.56 1.04
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Premier League
Shirak Gyumri vs Sardarapat
2:0
Jul 24, 2026 Club Friendly
Sardarapat vs Shirak Gyumri
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shirak Gyumri Compare

Top Goalscorer Misakyan R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mesamba B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Sardarapat Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shirak Gyumri 86 / 100
Sardarapat 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shirak Gyumri Sardarapat

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shirak Gyumri Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sardarapat's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 27 matches.

Shirak Gyumri found the back of the net in 41% of recent matches (27 games).

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Shirak Gyumri went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Shirak Gyumri VS Sardarapat
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Shirak Gyumri

(Home)
20 Sept
Shirak Gyumri
1 : 3
Ararat-Armenia
13 Sept
Pyunik Yerevan
2 : 0
Shirak Gyumri
06 Sept
Shirak Gyumri
2 : 0
Sardarapat
29 Aug
Van
0 : 4
Shirak Gyumri
22 Aug
Shirak Gyumri
0 : 1
Urartu
Page 1 of 6

Sardarapat

(Away)
19 Sept
BKMA
1 : 1
Sardarapat
13 Sept
Sardarapat
1 : 1
Alashkert
09 Sept
Sardarapat
2 : 4
Pyunik Yerevan
06 Sept
Shirak Gyumri
2 : 0
Sardarapat
31 Aug
Sardarapat
3 : 1
Syunik
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Noah 8 8 0 0 21:5 24
2 Ararat-Armenia 9 6 2 1 18:9 20
3 Pyunik Yerevan 8 5 3 0 18:8 18
4 Alashkert 9 4 4 1 19:7 16
5 Sardarapat 8 3 3 2 14:12 12
6 Urartu 8 3 2 3 12:10 11
7 Shirak Gyumri 8 3 1 4 11:10 10
8 Ararat Yerevan 8 3 0 5 6:13 9
9 BKMA 8 2 2 4 8:10 8
10 Van 9 2 1 6 6:21 7
11 FC Gandzasar 9 1 0 8 8:22 3
12 Syunik 8 0 2 6 3:17 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - First League 2027/2028 (Main)