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Shirak Gyumri vs Urartu - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Armenia Armenia

Premier League Gyumri City Stadium, Gyumri
Our Tip

Match Events

40'
Lulukyan G.
40'
Ghumashyan G.
40'
Mnatsakanyan H.

AI Match Summary

Urartu in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Urartu.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Shirak Gyumri
15%
Draws
46%
Urartu
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Urartu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Urartu lately — more wins on the board than Shirak Gyumri.
  • Win probability leans Shirak Gyumri's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Shirak Gyumri Clean Sheet 68%
Urartu Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shirak Gyumri Urartu
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 6 11
Draws 4 6
Losses 17 10
Goals Scored 0.89 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.56 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Premier League
Shirak Gyumri vs Urartu
0:1
May 18, 2026 Premier League
Shirak Gyumri vs Urartu
0:0
Oct 24, 2025 Premier League
Urartu vs Shirak Gyumri
5:0
Sep 26, 2025 Premier League
Shirak Gyumri vs Urartu
0:1
Apr 27, 2025 Premier League
Shirak Gyumri vs Urartu
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shirak Gyumri Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Urartu Compare

Top Goalscorer Ishibashi K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shirak Gyumri 59 / 100
Urartu 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shirak Gyumri Urartu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shirak Gyumri Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Urartu has conceded goals in 70% of their last 27 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Shirak Gyumri scored in 41% of their last 27 games.

Recent resilience: Shirak Gyumri stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Shirak Gyumri VS Urartu
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Shirak Gyumri

(Home)
20 Sept
Shirak Gyumri
1 : 3
Ararat-Armenia
13 Sept
Pyunik Yerevan
2 : 0
Shirak Gyumri
06 Sept
Shirak Gyumri
2 : 0
Sardarapat
29 Aug
Van
0 : 4
Shirak Gyumri
22 Aug
Shirak Gyumri
0 : 1
Urartu
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Urartu

(Away)
18 Sept
FC Gandzasar
0 : 3
Urartu
12 Sept
Urartu
0 : 3
Noah
06 Sept
BKMA
2 : 1
Urartu
28 Aug
Urartu
1 : 1
Alashkert
22 Aug
Shirak Gyumri
0 : 1
Urartu
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Noah 8 8 0 0 21:5 24
2 Ararat-Armenia 9 6 2 1 18:9 20
3 Pyunik Yerevan 8 5 3 0 18:8 18
4 Alashkert 9 4 4 1 19:7 16
5 Sardarapat 8 3 3 2 14:12 12
6 Urartu 8 3 2 3 12:10 11
7 Shirak Gyumri 8 3 1 4 11:10 10
8 Ararat Yerevan 8 3 0 5 6:13 9
9 BKMA 8 2 2 4 8:10 8
10 Van 9 2 1 6 6:21 7
11 FC Gandzasar 9 1 0 8 8:22 3
12 Syunik 8 0 2 6 3:17 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - First League 2027/2028 (Main)