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Shire Endaselassie vs Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)

Ethiopia Ethiopia

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Endale A.

AI Match Summary

Shire Endaselassie play Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) in the Premier League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Shire Endaselassie averaged 0.5 goals scored and 1 conceded. Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) averaged 1.13 goals scored and 1.38 conceded. In past meetings, Shire Endaselassie won 2, Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 14, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.94 for Shire Endaselassie and 1.06 for Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee). This points to a Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Shire Endaselassie
44%
Draws
20%
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Shire Endaselassie.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 44% draw probability.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Premier League provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Shire Endaselassie Clean Sheet 22%
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shire Endaselassie Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 10
Draws 12 11
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 0.5 1.13
Goals Conceded 1 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 14, 2026 Premier League
Shire Endaselassie vs Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
1:0
Jan 4, 2026 Premier League
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) vs Shire Endaselassie
1:3
Feb 28, 2025 Premier League
Shire Endaselassie vs Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
0:1
Nov 5, 2024 Premier League
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) vs Shire Endaselassie
1:1
Mar 7, 2020 Premier League
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) vs Shire Endaselassie
6:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shire Endaselassie Compare

Top Goalscorer Endale A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shire Endaselassie 37 / 100
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shire Endaselassie Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ETH Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shire Endaselassie scored in 40% of their last 30 games.

Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Shire Endaselassie went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Shire Endaselassie VS Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
0.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sidama Bunna381911843:2368
2Negele Arsi Ketema FC381515837:3060
3Mechal SC381415944:3157
4Fasil Kenema3814131128:2855
5Ethio Electric S.C.3813151032:2654
6St. Georges3814121233:3154
7Welayta Dicha381118937:3151
8Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)3813121340:3951
9Hawassa3812141237:3250
10Sheger Ketema FC3811171034:3150
11Bahir Dar Kenema38921828:2848
12Hadiya Hossana3811151231:3548
13Ethiopia Nigd Bank3811141345:4547
14Ethiopian Insurance3810161230:3146
15Adama City3810161235:3946
16Welwalo Adigrat3810161232:3646
17Shire Endaselassie389151424:3242
18Dire Dawa389151427:4142
19Mekelle 70 Enderta FC388161426:3840
20Arba Menche387141730:4635