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Shire Endaselassie vs Welayta Dicha

Ethiopia Ethiopia

Premier League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Shire Endaselassie play Welayta Dicha in the Premier League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Shire Endaselassie averaged 0.57 goals scored and 0.9 conceded. Welayta Dicha averaged 1 goals scored and 0.67 conceded. In past meetings, Shire Endaselassie won 0, Welayta Dicha won 2, and they drew 3. Their last match on Apr 20, 2026 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.50 for Shire Endaselassie and 0.94 for Welayta Dicha. This points to a Welayta Dicha double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Shire Endaselassie
35%
Draws
40%
Welayta Dicha
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Welayta Dicha

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Shire Endaselassie picked up more points recently compared to Welayta Dicha.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.50 vs 0.94 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 46%
Over 2.5 Goals 18%
Over 3.5 Goals 11%
Over 4.5 Goals 5%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Shire Endaselassie Clean Sheet 24%
Welayta Dicha Clean Sheet 23%
First Half Goal 41%
Second Half Goal 44%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shire Endaselassie Welayta Dicha
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 10
Draws 12 15
Losses 12 5
Goals Scored 0.57 1
Goals Conceded 0.9 0.67
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 20, 2026 Premier League
Shire Endaselassie vs Welayta Dicha
0:1
Dec 5, 2025 Premier League
Welayta Dicha vs Shire Endaselassie
1:1
Apr 30, 2025 Premier League
Shire Endaselassie vs Welayta Dicha
1:1
Oct 27, 2024 Premier League
Welayta Dicha vs Shire Endaselassie
1:0
Apr 25, 2020 Premier League
Shire Endaselassie vs Welayta Dicha
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shire Endaselassie Compare

Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Welayta Dicha Compare

Top Goalscorer Darza Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shire Endaselassie 27 / 100
Welayta Dicha 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shire Endaselassie Welayta Dicha

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Welayta Dicha or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +47%
5.88
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +49.9%
8.33
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Shire Endaselassie attacking → ← attacking Welayta Dicha

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shire Endaselassie scored in 40% of their last 30 games.

Welayta Dicha let in goals in 47% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.20 goals.

Shire Endaselassie went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Welayta Dicha lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

30 Points in last 5 45
0.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.50

League Standings

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16Welwalo Adigrat3810161232:3646
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