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Shizuoka Bonita W vs NGU Nagoya W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Japan Japan

Nadeshiko League Women
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
05:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Shizuoka Bonita W host NGU Nagoya W in the Nadeshiko League Women. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Shizuoka Bonita W at 2.66 goals for, 0.93 against; NGU Nagoya W at 2.18 for, 0.86 against. Head-to-head, Shizuoka Bonita W have won 1 to NGU Nagoya W's 4, with 0 draws. They last met on May 17, 2026, ending 3:0. Model xG sits at 1.50 vs 1.31, favoring NGU Nagoya W. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Shizuoka Bonita W
30%
Draws
33%
NGU Nagoya W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Shizuoka Bonita W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • NGU Nagoya W have won more games recently than Shizuoka Bonita W.
  • 37% — that's where the model lands on Shizuoka Bonita W taking it.
  • Regular Nadeshiko League Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • NGU Nagoya W have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Shizuoka Bonita W Clean Sheet 18%
NGU Nagoya W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shizuoka Bonita W NGU Nagoya W
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 17 18
Draws 4 5
Losses 8 5
Goals Scored 2.66 2.18
Goals Conceded 0.93 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Nadeshiko League Women
NGU Nagoya W vs Shizuoka Bonita W
3:0
Oct 12, 2025 Nadeshiko League Women
NGU Nagoya W vs Shizuoka Bonita W
3:1
Mar 16, 2025 Nadeshiko League Women
Shizuoka Bonita W vs NGU Nagoya W
1:2
Jun 8, 2024 Nadeshiko League Women
NGU Nagoya W vs Shizuoka Bonita W
2:3
Mar 30, 2024 Nadeshiko League Women
Shizuoka Bonita W vs NGU Nagoya W
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shizuoka Bonita W 58 / 100
NGU Nagoya W 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shizuoka Bonita W NGU Nagoya W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shizuoka Bonita W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Shizuoka Bonita W scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Shizuoka Bonita W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

NGU Nagoya W let in goals in 54% of their last 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Shizuoka Bonita W VS NGU Nagoya W
2.13 Goals Scored 1.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Shizuoka Bonita W

(Home)
04 Oct
Okayama Yunogo W
1 : 1
Shizuoka Bonita W
27 Sept
Miyazaki W
1 : 2
Shizuoka Bonita W
19 Sept
Shizuoka Bonita W
0 : 1
Yokohama FC Seagulls W
13 Sept
Orca Kamogawa W
1 : 1
Shizuoka Bonita W
05 Sept
Shizuoka Bonita W
3 : 1
Ehime W
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NGU Nagoya W

(Away)
03 Oct
NGU Nagoya W
3 : 1
Nittaidai W
19 Sept
AS Harima Albio W
1 : 2
NGU Nagoya W
12 Sept
NGU Nagoya W
0 : 2
Setagaya Sfida FC W
05 Sept
Yokohama FC Seagulls W
3 : 0
NGU Nagoya W
28 Jun
NGU Nagoya W
0 : 0
VONDS Ichihara W
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