Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Shkendija Haracine vs Vardar Negotino

North Macedonia North Macedonia

2. MFL 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The 2. MFL 2025/2026 game between Shkendija Haracine and Vardar Negotino finished 8-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Shkendija Haracine.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Shkendija Haracine
6%
Draws
4%
Vardar Negotino
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Shkendija Haracine

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Shkendija Haracine carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Shkendija Haracine's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 68%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Shkendija Haracine Clean Sheet 17%
Vardar Negotino Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shkendija Haracine Vardar Negotino
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 20 5
Draws 7 4
Losses 5 20
Goals Scored 2.88 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.25 4.29
Expected Goals (xG) 2.88 1.57
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 4.29

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 2. MFL
Shkendija Haracine vs Vardar Negotino
8:2
Nov 8, 2025 2. MFL
Vardar Negotino vs Shkendija Haracine
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shkendija Haracine 84 / 100
Vardar Negotino 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shkendija Haracine Vardar Negotino

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SHK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shkendija Haracine found the back of the net in 88% of recent matches (32 games).

Vardar Negotino let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 6.50 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Shkendija Haracine stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Shkendija Haracine VS Vardar Negotino
2.88 Goals Scored 1.57
1.25 Goals Conceded 4.29
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 86%

Recent Form & Match History

Shkendija Haracine

(Home)
19 Jul
KF Lepenci
0 : 1
Shkendija Haracine
14 Jul
Gorno Lisice
1 : 1
Shkendija Haracine
04 Jul
Shkendija Haracine
1 : 1
Arsimi
31 May
Pelister
1 : 2
Shkendija Haracine
23 May
Kamenica Sasa
2 : 4
Shkendija Haracine
Page 1 of 7

Vardar Negotino

(Away)
23 May
Vardar Negotino
0 : 5
Kozuf Gevgelija
16 May
Pobeda
3 : 5
Vardar Negotino
10 May
Vardar Negotino
0 : 4
Osogovo
02 May
Shkendija Haracine
8 : 2
Vardar Negotino
25 Apr
Vardar Negotino
1 : 4
Belasica Strumica
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bregalnica Stip30225372:1771
2FK Skopje30232572:2071
3Shkendija Haracine30216367:1969
4Ohrid30215478:1768
5Belasica Strumica30184857:2158
6Osogovo30166853:2754
7Novaci30156947:3151
8Detonit Plackovica30147952:2849
9Kozuf Gevgelija30129950:2645
10Teteks301331456:4442
11Kamenica Sasa30991247:5336
12Vardar Negotino30642037:9522
13Sloga Vinica30432331:8415
14Prespa30502530:7615
15Pobeda30322519:11711
16Golemo Konjari30212717:1107
Promotion - 1. MFL (Main)
Promotion - 1. MFL 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. MFL 2025/2026 (Relegation)