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Stadium Background

Shkendija Tetovo vs Arsimi

North Macedonia North Macedonia

1. MFL 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Ibraimi B.
38'
Sub
Avduli X. In: Mustafa S.
Out: Avduli X.
42'
Jusufi F.

AI Match Summary

The 1. MFL 2025/2026 game between Shkendija Tetovo and Arsimi finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Shkendija Tetovo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Shkendija Tetovo
6%
Draws
4%
Arsimi
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Shkendija Tetovo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Shkendija Tetovo come out ahead of Arsimi on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Shkendija Tetovo's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 27%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Shkendija Tetovo Clean Sheet 68%
Arsimi Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shkendija Tetovo Arsimi
Matches Played 34 32
Wins 22 13
Draws 3 6
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.13 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.14
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.43

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 1. MFL
Shkendija Tetovo vs Arsimi
1:0
Nov 23, 2025 1. MFL
Arsimi vs Shkendija Tetovo
3:0
Aug 24, 2025 1. MFL
Shkendija Tetovo vs Arsimi
0:0
Oct 13, 2024 Club Friendly
Shkendija Tetovo vs Arsimi
4:3
Jan 20, 2024 Club Friendly
Shkendija Tetovo vs Arsimi
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shkendija Tetovo Compare

Top Goalscorer Ibraimi B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Arsimi Compare

Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shkendija Tetovo 95 / 100
Arsimi 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shkendija Tetovo Arsimi

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SKD Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Shkendija Tetovo scored in 79% of their last 34 outings.

Arsimi let in goals in 72% of their last 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Shkendija Tetovo stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Shkendija Tetovo VS Arsimi
1.13 Goals Scored 1.14
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.43
75% Over 1.5 57%
63% Over 2.5 29%
25% Over 3.5 29%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vardar33265280:2183
2Shkendija Tetovo33235567:3074
3Struga33195968:2862
4Sileks331651259:3653
5Tikves331461359:4748
6Arsimi331371350:5346
7Bashkimi331191340:5442
8Pelister3310101341:4240
9Brera Strumica3310101346:5640
10Makedonija GP33971742:5734
11Rabotnicki33961845:5833
12Shkupi33013215:1301