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Shkendija Tetovo vs Bashkimi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

North Macedonia North Macedonia

1. MFL
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Ndzengue F.
42' Event
Ismaili F.
45' Event
Kryeziu A.

AI Match Summary

Shkendija Tetovo in this 1. MFL matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Shkendija Tetovo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Shkendija Tetovo
30%
Draws
29%
Bashkimi
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Shkendija Tetovo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Shkendija Tetovo lately — more wins on the board than Bashkimi.
  • 41% — that's where the model lands on Shkendija Tetovo taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Shkendija Tetovo here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Shkendija Tetovo Clean Sheet 18%
Bashkimi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shkendija Tetovo Bashkimi
Matches Played 34 29
Wins 19 7
Draws 5 8
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.79 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.15 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 18, 2026 1. MFL
Shkendija Tetovo vs Bashkimi
4:1
Apr 27, 2026 1. MFL
Shkendija Tetovo vs Bashkimi
2:3
Dec 6, 2025 1. MFL
Bashkimi vs Shkendija Tetovo
1:3
Oct 16, 2025 Club Friendly
Shkendija Tetovo vs Bashkimi
5:1
Sep 12, 2025 1. MFL
Shkendija Tetovo vs Bashkimi
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shkendija Tetovo Compare

Top Goalscorer Ndzengue F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kryeziu A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Bashkimi Compare

Top Goalscorer Ismaili F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shkendija Tetovo 85 / 100
Bashkimi 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shkendija Tetovo Bashkimi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shkendija Tetovo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shkendija Tetovo's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.60 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Bashkimi conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Shkendija Tetovo stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Shkendija Tetovo VS Bashkimi
2.13 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Shkendija Tetovo

(Home)
03 Oct
Llapi
1 : 0
Shkendija Tetovo
26 Sept
Kamjani
0 : 3
Shkendija Tetovo
18 Sept
Shkendija Tetovo
4 : 1
Bashkimi
11 Sept
Arsimi
2 : 2
Shkendija Tetovo
04 Sept
Shkendija Tetovo
1 : 3
Tikves
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Bashkimi

(Away)
04 Oct
Gjilani
3 : 0
Bashkimi
27 Sept
Drita
1 : 1
Bashkimi
18 Sept
Shkendija Tetovo
4 : 1
Bashkimi
12 Sept
Bashkimi
3 : 3
Vardar
09 Sept
BVK Konjare
0 : 5
Bashkimi
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shkendija Tetovo 8 6 1 1 20:8 19
2 Struga 8 5 2 1 19:5 17
3 Vardar 8 4 2 2 14:8 14
4 Tikves 8 3 4 1 17:7 13
5 Shkendija Haracine 8 4 1 3 6:9 13
6 Bregalnica Stip 8 3 1 4 11:13 10
7 Sileks 8 2 3 3 13:10 9
8 Arsimi 8 2 2 4 6:19 8
9 Bashkimi 8 1 1 6 7:25 4
10 FK Skopje 8 0 3 5 3:12 3
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - 1. MFL (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. MFL 2027/2028 (Main)