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Stadium Background

Shkendija Tetovo vs Tikves - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

North Macedonia North Macedonia

1. MFL
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Sylla N.
35'
Zejnullai A.
53'
Meljichi A.

AI Match Summary

The 1. MFL game between Shkendija Tetovo and Tikves finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tikves.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Shkendija Tetovo
35%
Draws
37%
Tikves
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Tikves

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Shkendija Tetovo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 37% — that's where the model lands on Tikves taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Shkendija Tetovo here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Shkendija Tetovo Clean Sheet 11%
Tikves Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shkendija Tetovo Tikves
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 19 12
Draws 4 9
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.88 2.33
Goals Conceded 1.16 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2026 1. MFL
Shkendija Tetovo vs Tikves
1:3
Apr 17, 2026 1. MFL
Tikves vs Shkendija Tetovo
1:4
Feb 14, 2026 1. MFL
Tikves vs Shkendija Tetovo
1:4
Nov 19, 2025 Macedonian Cup
Shkendija Tetovo vs Tikves
2:0
Sep 21, 2025 1. MFL
Shkendija Tetovo vs Tikves
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shkendija Tetovo Compare

Top Goalscorer Islami D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Tikves Compare

Top Goalscorer Sylla N.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shkendija Tetovo 10 / 100
Tikves 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shkendija Tetovo Tikves

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tikves Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shkendija Tetovo found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (32 games).

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Tikves let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Solid form: Shkendija Tetovo remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Shkendija Tetovo VS Tikves
2.13 Goals Scored 2.63
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Shkendija Tetovo

(Home)
03 Oct
Llapi
1 : 0
Shkendija Tetovo
26 Sept
Kamjani
0 : 3
Shkendija Tetovo
18 Sept
Shkendija Tetovo
4 : 1
Bashkimi
11 Sept
Arsimi
2 : 2
Shkendija Tetovo
04 Sept
Shkendija Tetovo
1 : 3
Tikves
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Tikves

(Away)
10 Oct
Tikves
3 : 0
Bregalnica Stip
06 Oct
Krosu Sport Bitola
0 : 13
Tikves
02 Oct
Rabotnicki
1 : 1
Tikves
18 Sept
Sileks
0 : 0
Tikves
11 Sept
Tikves
2 : 2
Struga
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shkendija Tetovo 8 6 1 1 20:8 19
2 Struga 8 5 2 1 19:5 17
3 Tikves 9 4 4 1 20:7 16
4 Vardar 8 4 2 2 14:8 14
5 Shkendija Haracine 8 4 1 3 6:9 13
6 Sileks 9 2 4 3 14:11 10
7 Bregalnica Stip 9 3 1 5 11:16 10
8 Arsimi 9 2 3 4 7:20 9
9 Bashkimi 8 1 1 6 7:25 4
10 FK Skopje 8 0 3 5 3:12 3
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - 1. MFL (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. MFL 2027/2028 (Main)