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Shkupi vs Makedonija GP Prediction & H2H Stats

North Macedonia North Macedonia

1. MFL 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Nikolic S.
32' Event
Galevski I.
35'
Sub
Rifadov A. In: Nuredin A.
Out: Rifadov A.

AI Match Summary

Makedonija GP in this 1. MFL 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Makedonija GP.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Shkupi
15%
Draws
85%
Makedonija GP
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Makedonija GP

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Makedonija GP lately — more wins on the board than Shkupi.
  • Makedonija GP are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Shkupi Clean Sheet 10%
Makedonija GP Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shkupi Makedonija GP
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 0 10
Draws 1 8
Losses 29 14
Goals Scored 0.27 1.69
Goals Conceded 4.1 1.44
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 3.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2026 1. MFL
Shkupi vs Makedonija GP
0:4
Feb 16, 2026 1. MFL
Makedonija GP vs Shkupi
3:0
Jan 24, 2026 Club Friendly
Makedonija GP vs Shkupi
0:0
Sep 20, 2025 1. MFL
Shkupi vs Makedonija GP
0:2
Apr 13, 2024 1. MFL
Shkupi vs Makedonija GP
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shkupi Compare

Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Makedonija GP Compare

Top Goalscorer Nikolic S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Galevski I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.18
Avg xA / game 1.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shkupi 10 / 100
Makedonija GP 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shkupi Makedonija GP

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Makedonija GP Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Makedonija GP conceded in 75% of 32 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Difficult form: Makedonija GP registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Shkupi scored in 20% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Shkupi VS Makedonija GP
0.13 Goals Scored 3
4 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Shkupi

(Home)
20 Sept
Brera Strumica
7 : 0
Shkupi
13 Sept
Shkupi
0 : 4
Pelister
09 Sept
Kamenica Sasa
1 : 0
Shkupi
05 Sept
Gorno Lisice
4 : 0
Shkupi
30 Aug
Shkupi
1 : 3
Teteks
Page 1 of 6

Makedonija GP

(Away)
19 Sept
Makedonija GP
0 : 1
Rabotnicki
12 Sept
Makedonija GP
1 : 0
Kamjani
06 Sept
Brera Strumica
1 : 0
Makedonija GP
02 Sept
Vellazerimi
0 : 14
Makedonija GP
29 Aug
Makedonija GP
0 : 1
Pelister
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vardar 33 26 5 2 80:21 83
2 Shkendija Tetovo 33 23 5 5 67:30 74
3 Struga 33 19 5 9 68:28 62
4 Sileks 33 16 5 12 59:36 53
5 Tikves 33 14 6 13 59:47 48
6 Arsimi 33 13 7 13 50:53 46
7 Bashkimi 33 11 9 13 40:54 42
8 Pelister 33 10 10 13 41:42 40
9 Brera Strumica 33 10 10 13 46:56 40
10 Makedonija GP 33 9 7 17 42:57 34
11 Rabotnicki 33 9 6 18 45:58 33
12 Shkupi 33 0 1 32 15:130 1
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - 1. MFL 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. MFL (Main)