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Shmona vs Hapoel Tel Aviv - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Israel Israel

Ligat ha'Al Kiryat Shmona Municipal Stadium, Kiryat Shmona
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
04:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Shmona host Hapoel Tel Aviv in the Ligat ha'Al. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Shmona have averaged 1.53 scored and 1.5 conceded recently, against Hapoel Tel Aviv's 1.46 scored and 0.83 conceded. Head-to-head, Shmona have won 0 to Hapoel Tel Aviv's 3, with 2 draws. They last met on Aug 16, 2026, ending 1:2. xG projections (1.06 - 1.44) back Hapoel Tel Aviv to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Shmona
15%
Draws
65%
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hapoel Tel Aviv

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Hapoel Tel Aviv carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Hapoel Tel Aviv a 65% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Ligat ha'Al form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Shmona Clean Sheet 16%
Hapoel Tel Aviv Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shmona Hapoel Tel Aviv
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 13 18
Draws 4 9
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 1.53 1.46
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Toto Cup
Shmona vs Hapoel Tel Aviv
1:2
Dec 13, 2025 Ligat ha'Al
Shmona vs Hapoel Tel Aviv
2:2
Aug 23, 2025 Ligat ha'Al
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Shmona
2:1
May 6, 2023 Ligat ha'Al
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Shmona
2:2
Feb 18, 2023 Ligat ha'Al
Shmona vs Hapoel Tel Aviv
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shmona 10 / 100
Hapoel Tel Aviv 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shmona Hapoel Tel Aviv

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hapoel Tel Aviv Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Shmona scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Hapoel Tel Aviv's defensive record shows goals conceded in 46% of 35 matches.

Solid form: Shmona remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Shmona VS Hapoel Tel Aviv
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Shmona

(Home)
19 Sept
H. Beer Sheva
1 : 0
Shmona
14 Sept
Shmona
0 : 4
Maccabi Haifa
05 Sept
Hapoel Jerusalem
4 : 2
Shmona
29 Aug
Shmona
2 : 0
Ironi Tiberias
22 Aug
Maccabi Petah Tikva
2 : 1
Shmona
Page 1 of 6

Hapoel Tel Aviv

(Away)
18 Sept
Hapoel Tel Aviv
3 : 0
Hapoel Petah Tikva
14 Sept
Maccabi Tel Aviv
4 : 1
Hapoel Tel Aviv
07 Sept
Hapoel Tel Aviv
4 : 0
Hapoel Ramat Gan
03 Sept
Hapoel Tel Aviv
3 : 0
Beitar Jerusalem
30 Aug
Hapoel Haifa
0 : 0
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maccabi Tel Aviv 5 5 0 0 18:6 15
2 Maccabi Haifa 5 4 0 1 12:7 12
3 Hapoel Tel Aviv 5 3 1 1 11:4 10
4 H. Beer Sheva 5 3 1 1 8:7 10
5 Beitar Jerusalem 5 3 0 2 7:9 9
6 Hapoel Jerusalem 5 2 1 2 12:12 7
7 Hapoel Haifa 5 1 3 1 7:6 6
8 Maccabi Petah Tikva 5 2 0 3 8:11 6
9 Netanya 5 1 2 2 6:6 5
10 Sakhnin 5 1 1 3 3:6 4
11 Hapoel Ramat Gan 5 1 0 4 4:9 3
12 Shmona 5 1 0 4 5:11 3
13 Hapoel Petah Tikva 5 1 0 4 2:8 3
14 Ironi Tiberias 5 2 1 2 7:8 1
Promotion - Ligat ha'Al (Championship Group)
Relegation - Ligat ha'Al (Relegation Group)