Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Shmona vs Ironi Tiberias Prediction & H2H Stats

Israel Israel

Ligat ha'Al Kiryat Shmona Municipal Stadium, Kiryat Shmona
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Sagna A.
Assist: David S.
33'
Talles Costa
40'
Sub
Joulani D. In: Shamir E.
Out: Joulani D.

AI Match Summary

The Ligat ha'Al game between Shmona and Ironi Tiberias finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Shmona.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Shmona
15%
Draws
59%
Ironi Tiberias
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ironi Tiberias

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Ironi Tiberias haven't matched Shmona's recent run of results.
  • Ironi Tiberias are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Ligat ha'Al form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Shmona Clean Sheet 22%
Ironi Tiberias Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shmona Ironi Tiberias
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 12 10
Draws 4 7
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.43 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Ligat ha'Al
Shmona vs Ironi Tiberias
2:0
Aug 1, 2026 Toto Cup
Ironi Tiberias vs Shmona
0:1
Apr 26, 2026 Ligat ha'Al
Ironi Tiberias vs Shmona
2:0
Feb 14, 2026 Ligat ha'Al
Shmona vs Ironi Tiberias
2:2
Nov 8, 2025 Ligat ha'Al
Ironi Tiberias vs Shmona
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shmona Compare

Top Goalscorer Sagna A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Abdullazada R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Ironi Tiberias Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shmona 29 / 100
Ironi Tiberias 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shmona Ironi Tiberias

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ironi Tiberias Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shmona found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).

Ironi Tiberias has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Shmona remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Shmona VS Ironi Tiberias
1.75 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Shmona

(Home)
19 Sept
H. Beer Sheva
1 : 0
Shmona
14 Sept
Shmona
0 : 4
Maccabi Haifa
05 Sept
Hapoel Jerusalem
4 : 2
Shmona
29 Aug
Shmona
2 : 0
Ironi Tiberias
22 Aug
Maccabi Petah Tikva
2 : 1
Shmona
Page 1 of 6

Ironi Tiberias

(Away)
19 Sept
Maccabi Haifa
3 : 2
Ironi Tiberias
15 Sept
Ironi Tiberias
2 : 2
Hapoel Jerusalem
05 Sept
Maccabi Petah Tikva
1 : 2
Ironi Tiberias
29 Aug
Shmona
2 : 0
Ironi Tiberias
22 Aug
Ironi Tiberias
1 : 0
Hapoel Petah Tikva
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maccabi Tel Aviv 5 5 0 0 18:6 15
2 Maccabi Haifa 5 4 0 1 12:7 12
3 Hapoel Tel Aviv 5 3 1 1 11:4 10
4 H. Beer Sheva 5 3 1 1 8:7 10
5 Beitar Jerusalem 5 3 0 2 7:9 9
6 Hapoel Jerusalem 5 2 1 2 12:12 7
7 Hapoel Haifa 5 1 3 1 7:6 6
8 Maccabi Petah Tikva 5 2 0 3 8:11 6
9 Netanya 5 1 2 2 6:6 5
10 Sakhnin 5 1 1 3 3:6 4
11 Hapoel Ramat Gan 5 1 0 4 4:9 3
12 Shmona 5 1 0 4 5:11 3
13 Hapoel Petah Tikva 5 1 0 4 2:8 3
14 Ironi Tiberias 5 2 1 2 7:8 1
Promotion - Ligat ha'Al (Championship Group)
Relegation - Ligat ha'Al (Relegation Group)