Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Shmona vs Maccabi Haifa

Israel Israel

Toto Cup Kiryat Shmona Municipal Stadium, Kiryat Shmona
Tue, Jul 28, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Toto Cup. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Shmona at 1.13 goals for, 0.75 against; Maccabi Haifa at 2.13 for, 1.25 against. Past meetings favor Maccabi Haifa slightly — 0-5-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 12, 2026, ending 4:1. xG projections (1.19 - 1.44) back Maccabi Haifa to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Shmona
11%
Draws
80%
Maccabi Haifa
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Maccabi Haifa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Maccabi Haifa lately — more wins on the board than Shmona.
  • Maccabi Haifa are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Maccabi Haifa arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Maccabi Haifa, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Maccabi Haifa here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Shmona Clean Sheet 16%
Maccabi Haifa Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shmona Maccabi Haifa
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 10 16
Draws 6 5
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.13 2.13
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Ligat ha'Al
Maccabi Haifa vs Shmona
4:1
Dec 6, 2025 Ligat ha'Al
Shmona vs Maccabi Haifa
0:1
Jan 11, 2025 Ligat ha'Al
Maccabi Haifa vs Shmona
4:1
Sep 28, 2024 Ligat ha'Al
Shmona vs Maccabi Haifa
0:4
Feb 11, 2023 Ligat ha'Al
Maccabi Haifa vs Shmona
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shmona 11 / 100
Maccabi Haifa 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shmona Maccabi Haifa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shmona found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (28 games).

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Maccabi Haifa let in goals in 71% of their last 31 matches.

Solid form: Shmona remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Shmona VS Maccabi Haifa
1.13 Goals Scored 2.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Shmona

(Home)
10 Jul
Hapoel Haifa
0 : 0
Shmona
07 Jul
Yehuda
2 : 0
Shmona
18 May
Shmona
2 : 3
SC Ashdod
13 May
Sakhnin
0 : 4
Shmona
09 May
Maccabi Bnei Raina
1 : 1
Shmona
Page 1 of 6

Maccabi Haifa

(Away)
25 Jul
Maccabi Haifa
2 : 3
Hapoel Haifa
14 Jul
Kiryat Yam
0 : 2
Maccabi Haifa
08 Jul
Maccabi Haifa
3 : 3
Paks
04 Jul
Dundee FC
1 : 2
Maccabi Haifa
23 May
H. Beer Sheva
2 : 5
Maccabi Haifa
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sakhnin00000:00
2Maccabi Haifa00000:00
3Shmona00000:00
4Hapoel Haifa00000:00
5Ironi Tiberias00000:00
Promotion - Toto Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Toto Cup (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Toto Cup (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Toto Cup (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Toto Cup (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Maccabi Petah Tikva00000:00
2Netanya00000:00
3Hapoel Petah Tikva00000:00
4Hapoel Ramat Gan00000:00
5Hapoel Jerusalem00000:00
Promotion - Toto Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Toto Cup (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Toto Cup (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Toto Cup (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Toto Cup (Placement Play Offs)