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Stadium Background

Shmona vs Maccabi Haifa

Israel Israel

Toto Cup Kiryat Shmona Municipal Stadium, Kiryat Shmona
Shmona Logo

Shmona

3 - 0
FT
Maccabi Haifa Logo

Maccabi Haifa

Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Gabay N.
23' Event
Sagna A.
26'
Sub
Glazer O. In: Alvin G.
Out: Glazer O.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-0. This leg finished 3-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Shmona
15%
Draws
64%
Maccabi Haifa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Maccabi Haifa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Maccabi Haifa lately — more wins on the board than Shmona.
  • Maccabi Haifa are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Maccabi Haifa arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Maccabi Haifa, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Maccabi Haifa here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Shmona Clean Sheet 20%
Maccabi Haifa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shmona Maccabi Haifa
Matches Played 29 35
Wins 13 19
Draws 4 3
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.59 2.09
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.49
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 14, 2026 Ligat ha'Al
Shmona vs Maccabi Haifa
0:4
Jul 28, 2026 Toto Cup
Shmona vs Maccabi Haifa
3:0
Apr 12, 2026 Ligat ha'Al
Maccabi Haifa vs Shmona
4:1
Dec 6, 2025 Ligat ha'Al
Shmona vs Maccabi Haifa
0:1
Jan 11, 2025 Ligat ha'Al
Maccabi Haifa vs Shmona
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shmona Compare

Top Goalscorer Gabay N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sagna A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Maccabi Haifa Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shmona 10 / 100
Maccabi Haifa 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shmona Maccabi Haifa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Maccabi Haifa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shmona found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Maccabi Haifa let in goals in 74% of their last 35 matches.

Solid form: Shmona remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Shmona VS Maccabi Haifa
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Shmona

(Home)
14 Sept
Shmona
0 : 4
Maccabi Haifa
05 Sept
Hapoel Jerusalem
4 : 2
Shmona
29 Aug
Shmona
2 : 0
Ironi Tiberias
22 Aug
Maccabi Petah Tikva
2 : 1
Shmona
16 Aug
Shmona
1 : 2
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Page 1 of 6

Maccabi Haifa

(Away)
14 Sept
Shmona
0 : 4
Maccabi Haifa
05 Sept
Maccabi Haifa
2 : 1
Hapoel Petah Tikva
31 Aug
Maccabi Tel Aviv
3 : 1
Maccabi Haifa
22 Aug
Maccabi Haifa
2 : 1
Hapoel Ramat Gan
17 Aug
Maccabi Haifa
0 : 1
Hapoel Jerusalem
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shmona 4 4 0 0 8:1 12
2 Hapoel Haifa 4 3 0 1 9:7 9
3 Maccabi Haifa 4 2 0 2 7:8 6
4 Ironi Tiberias 4 1 0 3 5:9 3
5 Sakhnin 4 0 0 4 2:6 0
Promotion - Toto Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Toto Cup (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Toto Cup (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Toto Cup (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Toto Cup (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Netanya 4 3 0 1 9:5 9
2 Hapoel Ramat Gan 4 2 1 1 8:7 7
3 Hapoel Jerusalem 4 2 1 1 7:6 7
4 Maccabi Petah Tikva 4 1 0 3 3:5 3
5 Hapoel Petah Tikva 4 1 0 3 3:7 3
Promotion - Toto Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Toto Cup (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Toto Cup (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Toto Cup (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Toto Cup (Placement Play Offs)