Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Shmona vs Netanya

Israel Israel

Ligat ha'Al 2025/2026 Kiryat Shmona Municipal Stadium, Kiryat Shmona
Shmona Logo

Shmona

1 - 0
FT
Netanya Logo

Netanya

Our Tip

Match Events

27'
Shaheen B.
36'
Avraham A.
45'
Jaber K.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Ligat ha'Al 2025/2026 game between Shmona and Netanya finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Shmona.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Shmona
20%
Draws
50%
Netanya
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Netanya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Shmona have managed 1.59 goals a game lately — Netanya are scoring more at 1.76.
  • Netanya are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Ligat ha'Al 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Shmona Clean Sheet 16%
Netanya Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shmona Netanya
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 13
Draws 4 6
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.59 1.76
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 29, 2026 Ligat ha'Al
Shmona vs Netanya
1:0
Feb 7, 2026 Ligat ha'Al
Netanya vs Shmona
1:1
Nov 2, 2025 Ligat ha'Al
Shmona vs Netanya
1:2
Aug 16, 2025 Toto Cup
Netanya vs Shmona
1:0
Jan 5, 2025 Ligat ha'Al
Shmona vs Netanya
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shmona Compare

Top Goalscorer Ugarriza A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Netanya Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shmona 23 / 100
Netanya 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shmona Netanya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Netanya Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Shmona scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Netanya conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Shmona went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Shmona VS Netanya
1.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Shmona

(Home)
14 Sept
Shmona
0 : 4
Maccabi Haifa
05 Sept
Hapoel Jerusalem
4 : 2
Shmona
29 Aug
Shmona
2 : 0
Ironi Tiberias
22 Aug
Maccabi Petah Tikva
2 : 1
Shmona
16 Aug
Shmona
1 : 2
Hapoel Tel Aviv
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Netanya

(Away)
14 Sept
Hapoel Ramat Gan
2 : 0
Netanya
07 Sept
Netanya
1 : 1
Hapoel Haifa
29 Aug
Beitar Jerusalem
1 : 4
Netanya
24 Aug
Netanya
0 : 0
Sakhnin
16 Aug
Netanya
0 : 1
Maccabi Tel Aviv
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
7 Netanya 33 14 6 13 59:63 48
8 Shmona 33 11 7 15 50:53 40
9 Ironi Tiberias 33 12 8 13 45:56 36
10 Hapoel Haifa 33 8 10 15 39:51 34
11 Sakhnin 33 8 10 15 28:49 34
12 Hapoel Jerusalem 33 7 10 16 26:43 31
13 SC Ashdod 33 6 10 17 38:62 28
14 Maccabi Bnei Raina 33 6 4 23 26:69 22
Relegation - Leumit League (Main)