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Sholing vs Farnham

England England

Southern League Premier South 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Leggett T.
85' Event
Liddle A.
90' Event
Targett B.

AI Match Summary

The Southern League Premier South 2025/2026 game between Sholing and Farnham finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Farnham.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Sholing
15%
Draws
53%
Farnham
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Farnham

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Farnham carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 53% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Southern League Premier South 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Sholing Clean Sheet 17%
Farnham Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sholing Farnham
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 16 17
Draws 7 5
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.66 1.6
Goals Conceded 1.22 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Sholing vs Farnham
1:2
Sep 6, 2025 Southern League Premier South
Farnham vs Sholing
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sholing Compare

Top Goalscorer Targett B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Farnham Compare

Top Goalscorer Leggett T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Liddle A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sholing 36 / 100
Farnham 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sholing Farnham

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Farnham Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sholing scored in 88% of their last 32 games.

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Farnham has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Sholing has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sholing VS Farnham
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sholing

(Home)
12 Sept
Sholing
1 : 3
Plymouth Parkway
05 Sept
Sholing
2 : 0
Andover New Street
31 Aug
Sholing
1 : 0
Gosport Borough
29 Aug
Bracknell Town
3 : 1
Sholing
22 Aug
Sholing
2 : 4
Chertsey Town
Page 1 of 7

Farnham

(Away)
12 Sept
Folkestone
1 : 2
Farnham
05 Sept
Hemel Hempstead
1 : 1
Farnham
31 Aug
Farnham
2 : 0
Torquay
29 Aug
Horsham FC
1 : 2
Farnham
22 Aug
Farnham
2 : 4
Billericay
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Walton & Hersham 42 29 5 8 94:42 92
2 Farnham 42 25 9 8 90:50 84
3 Gloucester City 42 25 7 10 93:51 82
4 Poole Town 42 21 12 9 80:50 75
5 Berkhamsted Town 42 21 9 12 62:50 72
6 Sholing 42 18 15 9 74:53 69
7 Chertsey Town 42 19 10 13 64:55 67
8 Gosport Borough 42 19 6 17 74:75 63
9 Uxbridge 42 15 14 13 74:70 59
10 Havant & Waterlooville 42 17 7 18 78:70 58
11 Plymouth Parkway 42 16 8 18 64:79 56
12 Bracknell Town 42 15 10 17 70:71 55
13 Yate 42 14 10 18 57:62 52
14 Hanwell Town 42 14 10 18 57:63 52
15 Wimborne 42 12 15 15 63:62 51
16 Taunton Town 42 14 9 19 65:70 51
17 Basingstoke 42 14 9 19 61:71 51
18 Evesham 42 11 14 17 51:62 47
19 Weymouth 42 13 8 21 53:71 47
20 Dorchester 42 9 13 20 48:79 40
21 Hungerford 42 9 11 22 47:87 38
22 Tiverton 42 5 3 34 39:115 18
Promotion - National League South (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier South 2025/2026 (Play Offs)