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Shonan Bellmare vs Reinmeer Aomori - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Japan Japan

Emperors Cup Lemon Gas Stadium, Hiratsuka
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Fujiwara T. In: Senoo N.
Out: Fujiwara T.
49'
Hashimoto R.
62'
Sub
Mio K. In: Utaka K.
Out: Mio K.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. The second leg ended 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Shonan Bellmare
20%
Draws
42%
Reinmeer Aomori
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Reinmeer Aomori

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Shonan Bellmare carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Reinmeer Aomori a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Shonan Bellmare have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Shonan Bellmare, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Shonan Bellmare Clean Sheet 10%
Reinmeer Aomori Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shonan Bellmare Reinmeer Aomori
Matches Played 28 8
Wins 14 4
Draws 4 0
Losses 10 4
Goals Scored 1.32 3.5
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 4.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 26, 2026 Emperors Cup
Shonan Bellmare vs Reinmeer Aomori
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shonan Bellmare Compare

Top Goalscorer Matsumura H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Reinmeer Aomori Compare

Avg xG / game 3.64
Avg xA / game 2.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shonan Bellmare 10 / 100
Reinmeer Aomori 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shonan Bellmare Reinmeer Aomori

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Reinmeer Aomori Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shonan Bellmare scored in 82% of their last 28 games.

Defensive concern: Reinmeer Aomori conceded in 63% of 8 recent games.

Shonan Bellmare has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Shonan Bellmare VS Reinmeer Aomori
1 Goals Scored 7.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.5
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Shonan Bellmare

(Home)
07 Oct
FC Tokyo
4 : 0
Shonan Bellmare
03 Oct
Fujieda MYFC
1 : 1
Shonan Bellmare
26 Sept
Imabari
1 : 2
Shonan Bellmare
19 Sept
Shonan Bellmare
1 : 1
Blaublitz
12 Sept
Vanraure
0 : 1
Shonan Bellmare
Page 1 of 6

Reinmeer Aomori

(Away)
26 Aug
Shonan Bellmare
1 : 0
Reinmeer Aomori
19 Aug
Reinmeer Aomori
15 : 0
Akita University
16 Jul
Reinmeer Aomori
1 : 2
Blaublitz
11 Jun
Yokohama F. Marinos
0 : 2
Reinmeer Aomori
25 May
Reinmeer Aomori
5 : 0
BTOP Hokkaido
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Kashima Antlers -
TBD -
Atletico Suzuka 2
Basara Hyogo 1
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo -
TBD -
TBD -
Kofu -
Nagoya Grampus -
TBD -
Gainare Tottori 3
Kumamoto 2
Verdy -
TBD -
Tohoku Gakuin University 1
Thespakusatsu Gunma 3
Kawasaki Frontale -
TBD -
Tochigi SC 2
Urayasu SC 0
Iwata -
TBD -
TBD -
Tegevajaro Miyazaki -
Gamba Osaka -
TBD -
Reilac Shiga 2
Japan Soccer 1
Tokushima -
TBD -
FC Tokushima 1
Kawasoe Club 0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima -
TBD -
Giravanz Kitakyushu 1
Okinawa 2
Iwaki -
TBD -
TBD -
Oita Trinita -
Okayama -
TBD -
Belugarosso Iwami 2
Nagasaki Intl University 0
Chiba -
TBD -
Arterivo Wakayama 0
Azul Claro Numazu 6
Vissel Kobe -
TBD -
Veroskronos Tsuno 3
Kamatamare Sanuki 1
Sagan Tosu -
TBD -
TBD -
Toyama -
Avispa Fukuoka -
TBD -
Verspah Oita 3
Kochi United 0
Yokohama FC -
TBD -
Ryutsu Keizai University 1
Criacao Shinjuku 2
Kashiwa Reysol -
TBD -
Senshu University 2
Tsukuba Univ. 1
Imabari -
TBD -
TBD -
Blaublitz -
Yokohama F. Marinos -
TBD -
Fukushima United 7
Oyama 0
Mito -
TBD -
Kanazawa 1
Kyoto Sangyo 4
Urawa Reds -
TBD -
Yamanashi Gakuin 1
Tokyo International University 0
Omiya Ardija -
TBD -
TBD -
Vanraure -
Cerezo Osaka -
TBD -
Gifu 3
Toyama Shinjo 1
Albirex Niigata -
TBD -
Kagoshima United 2
Renofa Yamaguchi 1
Kyoto -
TBD -
SRC Hiroshima 1
Maruyasu Okazaki 6
Montedio Yamagata -
TBD -
TBD -
Fujieda MYFC -
Shimizu S-Pulse -
TBD -
Nara Club 1
FC Osaka 4
V-Varen Nagasaki -
TBD -
Ehime 2
International Pacific Univesity 1
Machida Zelvia -
TBD -
Iwate Grulla Morioka 1
Sapporo University FC 0
Vegalta Sendai -
TBD -
TBD -
Tochigi City -
FC Tokyo -
TBD -
Nagano Parceiro 2
Fukui Utd. 1
Shonan Bellmare -
TBD -
Reinmeer Aomori 15
Akita University 0
1/32-finals
Kashima Antlers 3
Atletico Suzuka 0
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 1
Kofu 3
Nagoya Grampus 1
Gainare Tottori 3
Verdy 4
Thespakusatsu Gunma 1
Kawasaki Frontale 3
Tochigi SC 1
Iwata 0
Tegevajaro Miyazaki 1
Gamba Osaka 2
Reilac Shiga 0
Tokushima 3
FC Tokushima 0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 4
Okinawa 1
Iwaki 2
Oita Trinita 0
Okayama 3
Belugarosso Iwami 0
Chiba 2
Azul Claro Numazu 1
Vissel Kobe 2
Veroskronos Tsuno 1
Sagan Tosu 4
Toyama 0
Avispa Fukuoka 1
Verspah Oita 0
Yokohama FC 3
Criacao Shinjuku 1
Kashiwa Reysol 2
Senshu University 1
Imabari 4
Blaublitz 1
Yokohama F. Marinos 1
Fukushima United 0
Mito 0
Kyoto Sangyo 2
Urawa Reds 3
Yamanashi Gakuin 0
Omiya Ardija 2
Vanraure 0
Cerezo Osaka 3
Gifu 1
Albirex Niigata 0
Kagoshima United 4
Kyoto 1
Maruyasu Okazaki 0
Montedio Yamagata 3
Fujieda MYFC 5
Shimizu S-Pulse 2
FC Osaka 1
V-Varen Nagasaki 3
Ehime 2
Machida Zelvia 3
Iwate Grulla Morioka 0
Vegalta Sendai 1
Tochigi City 2
FC Tokyo 6
Nagano Parceiro 0
Shonan Bellmare 1
Reinmeer Aomori 0
1/16-finals
Kashima Antlers 3
Kofu 1
Gainare Tottori 0
Verdy 1
Kawasaki Frontale 2
Tegevajaro Miyazaki 0
Gamba Osaka 5
Tokushima 0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 4
Iwaki 0
Okayama 1
Chiba 0
Vissel Kobe 1
Sagan Tosu 0
Avispa Fukuoka 0
Yokohama FC 1
Kashiwa Reysol 4
Imabari 0
Yokohama F. Marinos 2
Kyoto Sangyo 1
Urawa Reds 3
Omiya Ardija 2
Cerezo Osaka 2
Kagoshima United 0
Kyoto 1
Fujieda MYFC 0
Shimizu S-Pulse 2
V-Varen Nagasaki 1
Machida Zelvia 2
Tochigi City 1
FC Tokyo 4
Shonan Bellmare 0
1/8-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -