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Shonan Bellmare vs Tochigi City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Japan Japan

J2 League Lemon Gas Stadium, Hiratsuka
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
09:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Shonan Bellmare host Tochigi City in the J2 League. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Tochigi City have shipped 1.55 goals a game lately, while Shonan Bellmare have conceded 1.24 and scored 1.28. Head-to-head, Shonan Bellmare have won 1 to Tochigi City's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on May 2, 2026, ending 1:2. Model xG sits at 1.56 vs 1.31, favoring Shonan Bellmare. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
Shonan Bellmare
35%
Draws
9%
Tochigi City
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Shonan Bellmare

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Tochigi City's 1.52 goals per match outpaces what Shonan Bellmare have produced (1.28).
  • Win probability leans Shonan Bellmare's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular J2 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Shonan Bellmare Clean Sheet 18%
Tochigi City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shonan Bellmare Tochigi City
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 13
Draws 6 2
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.28 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 J2/J3 League
Shonan Bellmare vs Tochigi City
1:2
Feb 28, 2026 J2/J3 League
Tochigi City vs Shonan Bellmare
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shonan Bellmare 41 / 100
Tochigi City 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shonan Bellmare Tochigi City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shonan Bellmare scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Tochigi City has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Shonan Bellmare went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Shonan Bellmare VS Tochigi City
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Shonan Bellmare

(Home)
17 Oct
Toyama
1 : 1
Shonan Bellmare
11 Oct
Shonan Bellmare
1 : 1
Albirex Niigata
07 Oct
FC Tokyo
4 : 0
Shonan Bellmare
03 Oct
Fujieda MYFC
1 : 1
Shonan Bellmare
26 Sept
Imabari
1 : 2
Shonan Bellmare
Page 1 of 6

Tochigi City

(Away)
17 Oct
Tochigi City
1 : 1
Yokohama FC
10 Oct
Kofu
2 : 1
Tochigi City
03 Oct
Tochigi City
1 : 2
Imabari
29 Sept
Tochigi City
0 : 2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
26 Sept
Tokushima
3 : 0
Tochigi City
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vegalta Sendai 11 7 3 1 18:8 24
2 Omiya Ardija 11 5 5 1 21:11 20
3 Albirex Niigata 11 6 2 3 15:19 20
4 Toyama 11 5 4 2 20:11 19
5 Yokohama FC 11 5 3 3 20:14 18
6 Shonan Bellmare 11 4 6 1 12:10 18
7 Oita Trinita 11 4 5 2 16:9 17
8 Iwaki 11 5 0 6 18:17 15
9 Fujieda MYFC 11 3 5 3 13:11 14
10 Tegevajaro Miyazaki 11 3 5 3 15:15 14
11 Iwata 11 4 2 5 13:14 14
12 Sagan Tosu 11 4 2 5 11:13 14
13 Tokushima 11 4 2 5 10:12 14
14 Montedio Yamagata 11 4 1 6 11:9 13
15 Blaublitz 11 3 4 4 12:12 13
16 Tochigi City 11 3 2 6 17:18 11
17 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 11 3 2 6 13:19 11
18 Imabari 11 3 2 6 14:22 11
19 Vanraure 11 3 2 6 9:20 11
20 Kofu 11 3 1 7 9:23 10
Promotion - J1 League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - J2 League (Promotion)
Relegation - J3 League 2027/2028 (Main)