Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Shoreham vs Crawley Down Gatwick

England England

FA Cup 2014/2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this FA Cup 2014/2015 tie, finishing 1-1. Extra time or penalties follow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Shoreham
15%
Draws
49%
Crawley Down Gatwick
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Crawley Down Gatwick

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Crawley Down Gatwick lately — more wins on the board than Shoreham.
  • Win probability leans Shoreham's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Crawley Down Gatwick arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 84.2%
Shoreham Clean Sheet 10%
Crawley Down Gatwick Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shoreham Crawley Down Gatwick
Matches Played 7 9
Wins 1 2
Draws 1 2
Losses 5 5
Goals Scored 1.57 1.11
Goals Conceded 3.57 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.79 2.35
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 19, 2014 FA Cup
Crawley Down Gatwick vs Shoreham
1:3
Aug 16, 2014 FA Cup
Shoreham vs Crawley Down Gatwick
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shoreham 34 / 100
Crawley Down Gatwick 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shoreham Crawley Down Gatwick

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shoreham found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (7 games).

Defensive concern: Crawley Down Gatwick conceded in 89% of 9 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Crawley Down Gatwick's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Shoreham VS Crawley Down Gatwick
1.57 Goals Scored 1.13
3.57 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 88%
86% Over 2.5 63%
86% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Shoreham

(Home)
07 Oct
Egham Town
7 : 1
Shoreham
01 Sept
Kingstonian
3 : 2
Shoreham
12 Sept
Shoreham
2 : 3
Eastbourne Town
31 Aug
Littlehampton
4 : 2
Shoreham
19 Aug
Crawley Down Gatwick
1 : 3
Shoreham
Page 1 of 2

Crawley Down Gatwick

(Away)
22 Sept
Crawley Down Gatwick
1 : 2
Hendon
19 Aug
Crawley Down Gatwick
1 : 3
Shoreham
16 Aug
Shoreham
1 : 1
Crawley Down Gatwick
19 Oct
Sudbury
5 : 0
Crawley Down Gatwick
08 Oct
Crawley Down Gatwick
1 : 0
Walton Casuals
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Spennymoor 3
Bishop Auckland 2
Marske United 2
Dunston 4
Salford 2
Nantwich 0
Brighouse Town 1
Ashton United 2
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TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
Telford -
King’s Lynn 7
Boston Town 0
TBD -
Hednesford -
United of Manchester 4
Prescot Cables 1
West Allotment Celtic 0
Lancaster 5
Buxton 3
Ramsbottom Utd 2
Bridlington Town 1
Newcastle Benfield 3
Bradford PA -
TBD -
TBD -
AFC Fylde -
Grimsby -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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Halesowen 3
Sutton Coldfield Town 0
Hereford 2
Ellistown 3
Droylsden 4
Ossett Albion 0
TBD -
Guiseley -
Alfreton -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
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Lincoln City -
Macclesfield -
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Wrexham -
Chorley -
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Northwich Victoria 2
Glossop North End 3
Workington 2
Consett 0
Squires Gate 4
Bamber Bridge 5
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TBD -
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Halifax -
Barwell 2
Coleshill Town 1
FC Wisbech Town 0
Norwich Utd 1
Scarborough Athletic 3
Ashington 2
Burscough 0
Curzon Ashton 1
TBD -
TBD -
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Altrincham -
Leek Town 2
Stourport 1
Stafford 0
Tividale 4
Dereham 3
Neots 2
TBD -
Boston United -
Mickleover 3
Staveley Miners 0
Boldmere St Michaels 0
Bedworth United 3
Skelmersdale 4
Radcliffe 3
Darlington FC 0
Blyth Spartans 3
Gateshead -
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Marine 2
Ossett Town 1
TBD -
Hyde -
Farsley 2
Frickley 1
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Gainsborough -
Tamworth -
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Romulus 2
Rushall 3
Coalville Town 5
Belper Town 3
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Lowestoft -
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Southport -
Dorchester 2
Yate 1
Milton United 0
Abingdon 3
Leiston 2
Haverhill Borough 0
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 0
Hendon 1
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Bristol Rovers -
Dartford -
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Sutton -
TBD -
Sudbury 1
Romania 3
Fleet Town 2
Knaphill 1
Croydon FC 2
Burgess Hill 3
Maidstone 10
Littlehampton 0
London Colney 0
Brentwood 1
Dorking Wanderers 4
Pagham 2
Arlesey 1
Biggleswade Town 2
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Welling -
FC Witham Town 4
Bowers & Pitsea 0
Bognor Regis 0
Lewes 1
London Tigers 1
Brightlingsea 0
Cambridge City 2
Needham Market 4
Flackwell Heath 5
Wantage 4
TBD -
Salisbury -
Banbury 1
Bishops Cleeve 0
TBD -
Weston-super-Mare -
Eastbourne Borough -
TBD -
Felixstowe & Walton 0
Enfield Town 5
Romford 1
Bury Town 0
Horsham FC 0
Kingstonian 4
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Dover Ath. -
Weymouth 3
Mangotsfield 0
Tiverton 0
Bideford 1
Raynes Park Vale 2
Ramsgate 1
Hadleigh 0
Billericay 4
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Braintree -
Canvey Island 4
Hertford Town 1
Thame United 1
Burnham FC 2
Margate 3
Folkestone 1
Northwood 3
Barton 4
Wingate & Finchley 6
Ipswich Wanderers 5
Daventry 1
Hitchin 2
Swindon Supermarine 2
AFC Totton 0
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Havant & Waterlooville -
St. Albans -
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Hayes & Yeading -
Farnborough -
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Brackley -
Winchester City 3
Bemerton Heath Harlequins FC 0
Horndean 0
Newport Isle of Wight 1
Wealdstone -
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Concord Rangers -
Basingstoke -
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Bodmin Town 4
Bridgwater United 5
Hythe 4
Whitstable Town 0
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Ebbsfleet -
Waltham Abbey 3
Barkingside 1
Northampton Sileby 1
North Greenford Utd. 3
VCD Athletic 3
Hampton & Richmond 2
AFC Hayes 2
Harrow Borough 3
Aldershot -
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Torquay -
Kidderminster -
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Eastleigh -
Nuneaton -
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Chippenham Town 1
Sholing 0
Slough Town 1
Ardley United 2
Dunstable Town 4
Chesham 3
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Hemel Hempstead -
Norton United 5
Corby 4
Holwell 0
Spalding United 4
Barrow -
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Witton Albion 3
Runcorn Town 5
Shildon 3
Whitby 2
TBD -
Stalybridge -
Blaby & Whetstone 4
Tipton Town 1
Market Drayton 1
Stourbridge 3
Colwyn Bay -
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Clitheroe 1
Harrogate Railway 3
Sheffield FC 3
Shepshed 2
Trafford 0
Warrington Town 1
Grantham Town 4
Clipstone 1
Lincoln Utd. 2
Stamford 3
Cleethorpes 3
Carlton Town 2
TBD -
North Ferriby United -
Stockport County -
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Harrogate -
Solihull Moors -
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Matlock 1
Ilkeston F.C. (inactive) 2
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Chester -
East Thurrock Utd 4
Hornchurch 3
South Park 2
Metropolitan Police 5
Stortford -
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Cray Wanderers 1
Tooting & Mitcham 2
Bath City -
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Bradford Town 0
Poole Town 4
Oxford City -
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Cirencester 1
Shortwood 2
Staines -
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Biggleswade United 1
Leverstock Green 2
Paulton Rovers 3
Taunton Town 1
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Gloucester City -
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Forest Green -
Willand Rovers 2
Saltash United 1
Sherborne Town 2
Blackfield & Langley 3
Thurrock 2
Welwyn Garden 0
Tilbury 0
Aveley 4
Maidenhead -
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Leatherhead 1
Faversham 2
Larkhall 2
Truro 0
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Gosport Borough -
Leamington -
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Mildenhall 1
Wroxham 3
Rugby 4
Chasetown 2
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Worcester -
Redhill 1
Carshalton 0
Herne Bay 0
Tonbridge 6
Beaconsfield Town 2
Godalming Town 1
Chessington & Hook 0
Greenwich Borough 1
Evesham 1
Redditch 0
Newmarket 0
Histon 3
Kettering 2
Aylesbury Vale 1
Hungerford 1
Chalfont St Peter 2
Grays 6
Harlow 4
Whyteleafe 1
Hastings 2
Uxbridge 6
Bedfont & Feltham 0
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Bromley -
Whitehawk -
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Chipstead 5
Merstham 6
Worthing FC 3
Dulwich Hamlet 0
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Chelmsford -
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Barnet -
Woking -
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Frome Town 2
Wimborne 0
Longwell Green Sports 0
Folland 1
East Preston 2
Peacehaven & Telscombe 0
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Boreham Wood -
Quarter-finals
Spennymoor 4
Dunston 1
Salford 1
Ashton United 2
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TBD -
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Telford -
King’s Lynn 1
Hednesford 0
United of Manchester 0
Lancaster 1
Buxton 2
Newcastle Benfield 0
Bradford PA 3
AFC Fylde 4
Grimsby -
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Halesowen 7
Ellistown 1
Droylsden 0
Guiseley 1
Alfreton -
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Lincoln City -
Macclesfield -
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Wrexham -
Chorley 1
Glossop North End 0
Workington 0
Bamber Bridge 1
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Halifax -
Barwell 2
Norwich Utd 0
Scarborough Athletic 0
Curzon Ashton 1
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Altrincham -
Leek Town 3
Tividale 2
Dereham 1
Boston United 3
Mickleover 4
Bedworth United 1
Skelmersdale 1
Blyth Spartans 4
Gateshead -
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Marine 5
Hyde 4
Farsley 1
Gainsborough 4
Tamworth 2
Rushall 1
Coalville Town 0
Lowestoft 5
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Southport -
Dorchester 2
Abingdon 0
Leiston 1
Hendon 4
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Bristol Rovers -
Dartford -
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Sutton 3
Romania 2
Fleet Town 0
Burgess Hill 4
Maidstone 2
Brentwood 1
Dorking Wanderers 2
Biggleswade Town 3
TBD -
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TBD -
Welling -
FC Witham Town 4
Lewes 2
London Tigers 2
Needham Market 5
Flackwell Heath -
Salisbury -
Banbury 0
Weston-super-Mare 3
Eastbourne Borough 6
Enfield Town 5
Romford 3
Kingstonian 5
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TBD -
TBD -
Dover Ath. -
Weymouth 4
Bideford 1
Raynes Park Vale 1
Billericay 2
TBD -
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TBD -
Braintree -
Canvey Island 1
Burnham FC 0
Margate 1
Barton 2
Wingate & Finchley 3
Hitchin 0
Swindon Supermarine 0
Havant & Waterlooville 3
St. Albans 1
Hayes & Yeading 0
Farnborough 2
Brackley 3
Winchester City 4
Newport Isle of Wight 3
Wealdstone 1
Concord Rangers 3
Basingstoke 2
Bridgwater United 0
Hythe 1
Ebbsfleet 7
Waltham Abbey 1
North Greenford Utd. 0
VCD Athletic 0
Harrow Borough 4
Aldershot -
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Torquay -
Kidderminster -
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Eastleigh -
Nuneaton -
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Chippenham Town 1
Ardley United 0
Dunstable Town 0
Hemel Hempstead 2
Norton United 2
Spalding United 1
Barrow 0
Runcorn Town 1
Shildon 1
Stalybridge 0
Blaby & Whetstone 2
Stourbridge 5
Colwyn Bay 3
Harrogate Railway 2
Sheffield FC 1
Warrington Town 3
Grantham Town 2
Stamford 1
Cleethorpes 1
North Ferriby United 2
Stockport County 2
Harrogate 1
Solihull Moors 0
Ilkeston F.C. (inactive) 1
TBD -
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TBD -
Chester -
East Thurrock Utd 4
Metropolitan Police 3
Stortford 1
Tooting & Mitcham 3
Bath City 3
Poole Town 1
Oxford City 1
Shortwood 2
Staines 5
Leverstock Green 0
Paulton Rovers 2
Gloucester City 3
TBD -
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Forest Green -
Willand Rovers 1
Blackfield & Langley 0
Thurrock 0
Aveley 2
Maidenhead 4
Faversham 0
Larkhall 3
Gosport Borough 10
Leamington 4
Wroxham 1
Rugby 1
Worcester 3
Redhill 2
Tonbridge 1
Beaconsfield Town 1
Greenwich Borough 3
Evesham 3
Histon 1
Kettering 0
Chalfont St Peter 1
Grays 1
Hastings 0
Uxbridge 1
Bromley 5
Whitehawk 2
Merstham 1
Worthing FC 0
Chelmsford 6
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Barnet -
Woking -
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Frome Town 2
Folland 1
East Preston 2
Boreham Wood 3
Semi-finals
Spennymoor 1
Ashton United 0
TBD -
Telford -
King’s Lynn 3
Lancaster 2
Buxton 0
AFC Fylde 1
Grimsby -
TBD -
Halesowen 0
Guiseley 3
Alfreton -
TBD -
TBD -
Lincoln City -
Macclesfield -
TBD -
TBD -
Wrexham -
Chorley 4
Bamber Bridge 1
TBD -
Halifax -
Barwell 2
Curzon Ashton 1
TBD -
Altrincham -
Leek Town 2
Boston United 0
Mickleover 1
Blyth Spartans 2
Gateshead -
TBD -
Marine 0
Gainsborough 4
Tamworth 1
Lowestoft 0
TBD -
Southport -
Dorchester 1
Hendon 0
TBD -
Bristol Rovers -
Dartford -
TBD -
Sutton 1
Burgess Hill 3
Maidstone 2
Biggleswade Town 0
TBD -
Welling -
FC Witham Town 2
Needham Market 1
Flackwell Heath 1
Weston-super-Mare 4
Eastbourne Borough 3
Kingstonian 2
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Dover Ath. -
Weymouth 1
Billericay 0
TBD -
Braintree -
Canvey Island 1
Barton 0
Wingate & Finchley 0
Havant & Waterlooville 2
St. Albans 2
Brackley 0
Winchester City 2
Concord Rangers 3
Basingstoke 2
Ebbsfleet 1
Waltham Abbey 1
Harrow Borough 2
Aldershot -
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Torquay -
Kidderminster -
TBD -
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Eastleigh -
Nuneaton -
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Chippenham Town 0
Hemel Hempstead 5
Norton United 5
Runcorn Town 2
Shildon 2
Stourbridge 0
Colwyn Bay 1
Warrington Town 2
Grantham Town 1
North Ferriby United 2
Stockport County 1
Ilkeston F.C. (inactive) 0
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Chester -
East Thurrock Utd 2
Tooting & Mitcham 1
Bath City 5
Shortwood 3
Staines 3
Gloucester City 4
TBD -
Forest Green -
Willand Rovers 3
Aveley 2
Maidenhead 1
Gosport Borough 4
Leamington 1
Worcester 3
Redhill 0
Greenwich Borough 1
Evesham 4
Chalfont St Peter 1
Grays 0
Bromley 5
Whitehawk 5
Chelmsford 8
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Barnet -
Woking -
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Frome Town 2
Boreham Wood 3
Stage 5
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Stage 4
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Stage 2
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Stage 1
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Final
Spennymoor 2
Telford 5
King’s Lynn 3
AFC Fylde 4
Grimsby 3
Guiseley 0
Alfreton 2
Lincoln City 6
Macclesfield 3
Wrexham 6
Chorley 0
Halifax 5
Barwell 0
Altrincham 3
Leek Town 3
Blyth Spartans 4
Gateshead 4
Gainsborough 0
Tamworth 2
Southport 3
Dorchester 1
Bristol Rovers 7
Dartford 3
Burgess Hill 1
Maidstone 2
Welling 1
FC Witham Town 1
Weston-super-Mare 2
Eastbourne Borough 0
Dover Ath. 1
Weymouth 3
Braintree 5
Canvey Island 0
Havant & Waterlooville 3
St. Albans 0
Concord Rangers 1
Basingstoke 5
Harrow Borough 2
Aldershot 2
Torquay 0
Kidderminster 0
Eastleigh 1
Nuneaton 0
Hemel Hempstead 2
Norton United 3
Shildon 2
Warrington Town 1
North Ferriby United 0
Stockport County 2
Chester 4
East Thurrock Utd 7
Bath City 1
Gloucester City 1
Forest Green 4
Willand Rovers 1
Gosport Borough 3
Worcester 2
Greenwich Borough 1
Evesham 1
Bromley 2
Chelmsford 1
Barnet 4
Woking 2
Boreham Wood 1