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Shortan Guzor vs Kattaqurgon - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Pro Liga Stadion Guzor, Guzar
Our Tip

Match Events

85' Event
Murodov A.

AI Match Summary

The Pro Liga game between Shortan Guzor and Kattaqurgon finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Shortan Guzor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

68%
Shortan Guzor
15%
Draws
17%
Kattaqurgon
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Shortan Guzor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Kattaqurgon haven't matched Shortan Guzor's recent run of results.
  • Shortan Guzor are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Shortan Guzor Clean Sheet 20%
Kattaqurgon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shortan Guzor Kattaqurgon
Matches Played 28 20
Wins 15 10
Draws 5 3
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 1.79 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.29 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Pro Liga
Shortan Guzor vs Kattaqurgon
1:0
Apr 12, 2026 Pro Liga
Kattaqurgon vs Shortan Guzor
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shortan Guzor Compare

Top Goalscorer Murodov A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Kattaqurgon Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shortan Guzor 85 / 100
Kattaqurgon 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shortan Guzor Kattaqurgon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shortan Guzor Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shortan Guzor's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Shortan Guzor stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Away concern: Kattaqurgon has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Shortan Guzor VS Kattaqurgon
2.13 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Shortan Guzor

(Home)
07 Oct
Shortan Guzor
3 : 1
Jayxun
21 Sept
Pakhtakor II
0 : 4
Shortan Guzor
12 Sept
Shortan Guzor
3 : 0
TerDU
06 Sept
Yaypan
1 : 4
Shortan Guzor
29 Aug
Shortan Guzor
0 : 1
FC Lochin
Page 1 of 6

Kattaqurgon

(Away)
08 Oct
Kattaqurgon
0 : 3
Metallurg Bekabad
13 Sept
BuxDu
0 : 2
Kattaqurgon
07 Sept
Kattaqurgon
1 : 3
Respublika FA
27 Aug
Aral
1 : 0
Kattaqurgon
21 Aug
Kattaqurgon
2 : 4
Gazalkent
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aral 21 16 4 1 45:13 52
2 Shortan Guzor 21 14 3 4 38:20 45
3 Metallurg Bekabad 21 13 4 4 49:16 43
4 FarDU 21 11 7 3 39:29 40
5 FC Lochin 21 10 5 6 32:25 35
6 Gazalkent 21 10 5 6 39:25 35
7 Kattaqurgon 20 10 3 7 24:20 33
8 Olimpik-Mobiuz 19 9 5 5 36:22 32
9 Respublika FA 20 7 4 9 27:30 25
10 Jayxun 21 7 3 11 23:28 24
11 Yaypan 21 6 4 11 24:39 22
12 BuxDu 21 3 1 17 18:54 10
13 Pakhtakor II 21 3 1 17 15:49 10
14 TerDU 21 1 1 19 12:51 4
Promotion - Super League 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Pro Liga (Promotion)