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Shortan Guzor vs Olimpik-Mobiuz

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Pro Liga
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Shortan Guzor play Olimpik-Mobiuz in the Pro Liga. Olimpik-Mobiuz are favorites here. Recently, Shortan Guzor averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.63 conceded. Olimpik-Mobiuz averaged 1.73 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. In past meetings, Shortan Guzor won 3, Olimpik-Mobiuz won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on Apr 5, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Shortan Guzor and 1.00 for Olimpik-Mobiuz. This points to a Olimpik-Mobiuz double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
Shortan Guzor
25%
Draws
60%
Olimpik-Mobiuz
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Olimpik-Mobiuz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Shortan Guzor picked up more points recently compared to Olimpik-Mobiuz.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 57%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 77%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 58%
Shortan Guzor Clean Sheet 23%
Olimpik-Mobiuz Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 69%
Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shortan Guzor Olimpik-Mobiuz
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 15
Draws 7 6
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1.4 1.73
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2026 Pro Liga
Shortan Guzor vs Olimpik-Mobiuz
1:0
Nov 22, 2024 Pro Liga
Shortan Guzor vs Olimpik-Mobiuz
1:0
Oct 6, 2024 Pro Liga
Olimpik-Mobiuz vs Shortan Guzor
1:1
Jun 18, 2024 Pro Liga
Shortan Guzor vs Olimpik-Mobiuz
3:0
May 3, 2024 Pro Liga
Olimpik-Mobiuz vs Shortan Guzor
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shortan Guzor Compare

Top Goalscorer Abdurakhmonov M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Olimpik-Mobiuz Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shortan Guzor 18 / 100
Olimpik-Mobiuz 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shortan Guzor Olimpik-Mobiuz

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Olimpik-Mobiuz Win (2)
Secondary Pick Olimpik-Mobiuz & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +114.3%
14.29
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.7%
1.96
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Shortan Guzor attacking → ← attacking Olimpik-Mobiuz

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shortan Guzor scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Olimpik-Mobiuz let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Shortan Guzor went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Olimpik-Mobiuz lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

37 Points in last 5 51
1.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Aral1082024:726
2Shortan Guzor1072115:823
3FC Lochin953116:518
4Metallurg Bekabad1053223:818
5Kattaqurgon1053211:618
6Gazalkent1043314:1215
7FarDU1034313:1913
8Yaypan1041513:2013
9Olimpik-Mobiuz933316:1012
10Respublika FA1033412:1012
11Jayxun102267:168
12BuxDu102177:217
13Pakhtakor II101186:234
14TerDU101188:204