Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Shortan Guzor vs TerDU

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Pro Liga Stadion Guzor, Guzar
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
55' Event
Murodov A.
69'
Choriev U.

AI Match Summary

The Pro Liga game between Shortan Guzor and TerDU finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Shortan Guzor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Shortan Guzor
15%
Draws
0%
TerDU
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Shortan Guzor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Shortan Guzor come out ahead of TerDU on wins alone.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Shortan Guzor taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Shortan Guzor Clean Sheet 20%
TerDU Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shortan Guzor TerDU
Matches Played 30 21
Wins 14 1
Draws 6 1
Losses 10 19
Goals Scored 1.6 0.62
Goals Conceded 1.3 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Pro Liga
Shortan Guzor vs TerDU
3:0
Apr 29, 2026 Pro Liga
TerDU vs Shortan Guzor
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shortan Guzor Compare

Top Goalscorer Murodov A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kodirov G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

TerDU Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shortan Guzor 85 / 100
TerDU 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shortan Guzor TerDU

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shortan Guzor Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

TerDU has conceded goals in 95% of their last 21 outings.

Difficult form: TerDU registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Shortan Guzor found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Shortan Guzor VS TerDU
1.13 Goals Scored 0.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.63
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Shortan Guzor

(Home)
21 Sept
Pakhtakor II
0 : 4
Shortan Guzor
12 Sept
Shortan Guzor
3 : 0
TerDU
06 Sept
Yaypan
1 : 4
Shortan Guzor
29 Aug
Shortan Guzor
0 : 1
FC Lochin
22 Aug
FarDU
3 : 1
Shortan Guzor
Page 1 of 6

TerDU

(Away)
22 Sept
TerDU
1 : 4
Gazalkent
12 Sept
Shortan Guzor
3 : 0
TerDU
07 Sept
TerDU
0 : 1
Jayxun
28 Aug
Pakhtakor II
3 : 0
TerDU
20 Aug
TerDU
0 : 3
Metallurg Bekabad
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aral 20 15 4 1 42:13 49
2 Shortan Guzor 20 13 3 4 35:19 42
3 Metallurg Bekabad 20 12 4 4 46:16 40
4 FarDU 20 11 6 3 37:27 39
5 Kattaqurgon 19 10 3 6 24:17 33
6 FC Lochin 20 9 5 6 26:23 32
7 Gazalkent 20 9 5 6 36:23 32
8 Olimpik-Mobiuz 18 9 4 5 34:20 31
9 Jayxun 20 7 3 10 22:25 24
10 Yaypan 20 6 4 10 23:37 22
11 Respublika FA 19 6 4 9 25:29 22
12 BuxDu 20 3 1 16 16:48 10
13 Pakhtakor II 20 3 1 16 13:46 10
14 TerDU 20 1 1 18 12:48 4
Promotion - Super League 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Pro Liga (Promotion)