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Shrewsbury vs Cheltenham

England England

League Two 2025/2026 The Croud Meadow, Shrewsbury
Our Tip

Match Events

17'
Cundy R.
19'
Young L.
35'
Perry T.

AI Match Summary

The League Two 2025/2026 game between Shrewsbury and Cheltenham finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cheltenham.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Shrewsbury
6%
Draws
4%
Cheltenham
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Shrewsbury

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Shrewsbury carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Shrewsbury a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular League Two 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Cheltenham have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Shrewsbury Clean Sheet 68%
Cheltenham Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shrewsbury Cheltenham
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 10
Draws 4 8
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 League Two
Shrewsbury vs Cheltenham
0:2
Dec 26, 2025 League Two
Cheltenham vs Shrewsbury
3:1
Dec 26, 2023 League One
Cheltenham vs Shrewsbury
2:0
Aug 5, 2023 League One
Shrewsbury vs Cheltenham
1:0
Dec 29, 2022 League One
Shrewsbury vs Cheltenham
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shrewsbury Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Cheltenham Compare

Top Goalscorer Thomas J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sherring S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shrewsbury 95 / 100
Cheltenham 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shrewsbury Cheltenham

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SHR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cheltenham's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Shrewsbury remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Away concern: Cheltenham has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Shrewsbury VS Cheltenham
1 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
38% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Shrewsbury

(Home)
21 Jul
Shrewsbury
1 : 0
Everton U21
19 Jul
Shrewsbury
4 : 0
Isle of Man
17 Jul
Radcliffe
1 : 0
Shrewsbury
14 Jul
Stafford
0 : 0
Shrewsbury
02 May
Gillingham
1 : 0
Shrewsbury
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Cheltenham

(Away)
18 Jul
Evesham
0 : 3
Cheltenham
02 May
Cheltenham
1 : 4
Colchester
25 Apr
Bristol Rovers
4 : 0
Cheltenham
21 Apr
Cheltenham
1 : 3
Tranmere
18 Apr
Cheltenham
1 : 0
Newport
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bromley462415771:4687
2Milton Keynes Dons462414886:4586
3Cambridge Utd462216866:3382
4Salford462561561:5181
5Notts County462481474:5280
6Chesterfield462116971:5679
7Grimsby4622121274:5078
8Barnet4621131270:5376
9Swindon462291570:5975
10Oldham4618141460:4468
11Crewe4619101764:5867
12Colchester4618121662:4966
13Walsall4618111756:5665
14Bristol Rovers461952256:6562
15Fleetwood Town4615161557:5861
16Accrington4614112147:5853
17Gillingham4613141953:7253
18Cheltenham4614102253:7952
19Shrewsbury4613102342:6949
20Newport461272748:7743
21Tranmere4610112554:7941
22Crawley Town468162244:6840
23Harrogate461092739:6839
24Barrow46992845:7836
Promotion - League One (Main)
Promotion - League Two 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - National League (Main)