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Shrewsbury vs Gillingham - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

League Two The Croud Meadow, Shrewsbury
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Waldock H.
Assist: McManus C.
22'
Coleman E.
38'
Cowan G.

AI Match Summary

Gillingham in this League Two matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gillingham.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Shrewsbury
20%
Draws
33%
Gillingham
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Shrewsbury

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Shrewsbury have won more games recently than Gillingham.
  • Win probability leans Shrewsbury's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular League Two form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Shrewsbury Clean Sheet 68%
Gillingham Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shrewsbury Gillingham
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 12 11
Draws 7 7
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.13 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 31, 2026 League Two
Shrewsbury vs Gillingham
1:2
May 2, 2026 League Two
Gillingham vs Shrewsbury
1:0
Nov 29, 2025 League Two
Shrewsbury vs Gillingham
3:3
Jan 25, 2022 League One
Gillingham vs Shrewsbury
0:0
Aug 28, 2021 League One
Shrewsbury vs Gillingham
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shrewsbury Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Gillingham Compare

Top Goalscorer Waldock H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Smith A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shrewsbury 86 / 100
Gillingham 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shrewsbury Gillingham

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shrewsbury Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shrewsbury scored in 66% of their last 32 games.

Gillingham's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Shrewsbury remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Shrewsbury VS Gillingham
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Shrewsbury

(Home)
31 Oct
Shrewsbury
1 : 2
Gillingham
27 Oct
Shrewsbury
2 : 1
Everton U21
24 Oct
Rotherham
3 : 3
Shrewsbury
20 Oct
Crawley Town
2 : 3
Shrewsbury
17 Oct
Shrewsbury
1 : 0
Bristol Rovers
Page 1 of 7

Gillingham

(Away)
31 Oct
Shrewsbury
1 : 2
Gillingham
24 Oct
Gillingham
1 : 4
Grimsby
20 Oct
Gillingham
1 : 1
Port Vale
17 Oct
Accrington
3 : 1
Gillingham
13 Oct
Gillingham
4 : 3
Brighton U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Salford 14 10 1 3 25:15 31
2 Barnet 13 7 5 1 28:18 26
3 Walsall 13 5 7 1 21:12 22
4 Crewe 14 5 7 2 17:17 22
5 Cheltenham 14 6 3 5 23:25 21
6 Grimsby 14 5 5 4 24:18 20
7 York City 14 5 5 4 24:21 20
8 Gillingham 14 5 5 4 20:19 20
9 Accrington 14 4 7 3 23:17 19
10 Chesterfield 14 5 4 5 24:21 19
11 Tranmere 14 4 7 3 19:17 19
12 Exeter 14 5 4 5 11:9 19
13 Swindon 14 5 4 5 15:17 19
14 Newport 14 4 6 4 20:17 18
15 Shrewsbury 14 5 3 6 17:22 18
16 Fleetwood Town 14 4 5 5 18:18 17
17 Bristol Rovers 14 5 1 8 17:23 16
18 Oldham 14 4 3 7 15:19 15
19 Port Vale 12 4 3 5 10:14 15
20 Rochdale 14 4 3 7 17:26 15
21 Northampton 13 3 5 5 9:10 14
22 Rotherham 14 2 6 6 18:25 12
23 Colchester 13 2 6 5 12:19 12
24 Crawley Town 12 2 3 7 13:21 9
Promotion - League One 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League Two (Play Offs)
Relegation - National League 2027/2028 (Main)