Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Shrewsbury vs Salford

England England

League Two The Croud Meadow, Shrewsbury
Our Tip

Match Events

61'
Sub
Awe Z. In: Allen T.
Out: Awe Z.
61'
Sub
Powell J. In: Cesay K.
Out: Powell J.
61'
Sub
Udoh D. In: Graydon R.
Out: Udoh D.

AI Match Summary

The League Two game between Shrewsbury and Salford finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Shrewsbury.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Shrewsbury
30%
Draws
47%
Salford
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Salford

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Salford carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular League Two form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Shrewsbury Clean Sheet 14%
Salford Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shrewsbury Salford
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 8 16
Draws 6 5
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 0.86 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 League Two
Shrewsbury vs Salford
1:0
Aug 8, 2026 EFL Cup
Salford vs Shrewsbury
1:2
Feb 24, 2026 League Two
Salford vs Shrewsbury
1:2
Sep 13, 2025 League Two
Shrewsbury vs Salford
1:3
Nov 2, 2024 FA Cup
Salford vs Shrewsbury
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shrewsbury Compare

Top Goalscorer Boyle W.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Salford Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shrewsbury 31 / 100
Salford 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shrewsbury Salford

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Salford has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Shrewsbury went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Shrewsbury scored in 54% of their last 28 games.

Scoring Trends

Shrewsbury VS Salford
0.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Shrewsbury

(Home)
26 Sept
Shrewsbury
2 : 2
Colchester
22 Sept
Tranmere
1 : 0
Shrewsbury
19 Sept
Crewe
1 : 1
Shrewsbury
12 Sept
Shrewsbury
2 : 0
Northampton
05 Sept
Fleetwood Town
2 : 0
Shrewsbury
Page 1 of 6

Salford

(Away)
26 Sept
Oldham
1 : 4
Salford
22 Sept
Salford
1 : 2
Sheffield Wed
19 Sept
Salford
1 : 0
Swindon
12 Sept
Rotherham
3 : 3
Salford
05 Sept
Salford
1 : 0
Port Vale
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barnet 7 4 3 0 17:10 15
2 Cheltenham 8 4 3 1 16:12 15
3 Bristol Rovers 8 5 0 3 13:11 15
4 York City 8 4 2 2 16:10 14
5 Walsall 8 3 5 0 11:5 14
6 Grimsby 8 3 4 1 12:8 13
7 Salford 8 4 1 3 12:10 13
8 Gillingham 8 3 3 2 11:9 12
9 Crewe 8 2 6 0 8:6 12
10 Tranmere 8 2 5 1 10:8 11
11 Chesterfield 8 3 2 3 11:10 11
12 Swindon 8 3 2 3 9:12 11
13 Rotherham 8 2 4 2 11:11 10
14 Fleetwood Town 8 2 4 2 9:9 10
15 Colchester 8 2 4 2 10:12 10
16 Rochdale 8 3 1 4 9:11 10
17 Newport 8 2 3 3 12:12 9
18 Shrewsbury 8 2 2 4 7:13 8
19 Accrington 8 1 4 3 11:14 7
20 Oldham 8 2 1 5 9:13 7
21 Exeter 8 1 3 4 4:6 6
22 Northampton 7 1 3 3 3:6 6
23 Port Vale 7 1 2 4 3:9 5
24 Crawley Town 7 1 1 5 6:13 4
Promotion - League One 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League Two (Play Offs)
Relegation - National League 2027/2028 (Main)