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Shrewsbury vs Stockport County - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

EFL Trophy The Croud Meadow, Shrewsbury
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Stubbs S. In: Hoole L.
Out: Stubbs S.
63'
Sub
Camps C. In: Bailey J.
Out: Camps C.
63'
Sub
Edun T. In: Ilara R.
Out: Edun T.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-2. This leg finished 0-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Shrewsbury
30%
Draws
47%
Stockport County
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Stockport County

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Stockport County lately — more wins on the board than Shrewsbury.
  • Stockport County are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Stockport County arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Stockport County, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Stockport County have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Shrewsbury Clean Sheet 12%
Stockport County Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shrewsbury Stockport County
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 10 17
Draws 6 4
Losses 15 9
Goals Scored 0.94 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 6, 2026 EFL Trophy
Shrewsbury vs Stockport County
0:2
Jan 28, 2025 League One
Stockport County vs Shrewsbury
1:0
Oct 1, 2024 League One
Shrewsbury vs Stockport County
0:2
Oct 18, 2022 EFL Trophy
Stockport County vs Shrewsbury
1:0
Apr 16, 2011 League Two
Shrewsbury vs Stockport County
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shrewsbury Compare

Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Stockport County Compare

Top Goalscorer Adigun J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gardner C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shrewsbury 14 / 100
Stockport County 67 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shrewsbury Stockport County

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Stockport County Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stockport County's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Shrewsbury has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Shrewsbury scored in 55% of their last 31 outings.

Scoring Trends

Shrewsbury VS Stockport County
0.75 Goals Scored 1.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Shrewsbury

(Home)
06 Oct
Shrewsbury
0 : 2
Stockport County
03 Oct
Grimsby
1 : 2
Shrewsbury
26 Sept
Shrewsbury
2 : 2
Colchester
22 Sept
Tranmere
1 : 0
Shrewsbury
19 Sept
Crewe
1 : 1
Shrewsbury
Page 1 of 7

Stockport County

(Away)
06 Oct
Shrewsbury
0 : 2
Stockport County
26 Sept
Stockport County
1 : 0
Peterborough
19 Sept
Sheffield Wed
0 : 0
Stockport County
12 Sept
Stockport County
3 : 4
Leicester
05 Sept
Wigan
0 : 4
Stockport County
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sheffield Wed 2 2 0 0 4:1 6
2 Accrington 2 2 0 0 4:4 4
3 Salford 2 0 0 2 2:3 1
4 Sunderland U21 2 0 0 2 3:5 1
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wigan 2 2 0 0 6:4 6
2 Crewe 2 1 0 1 6:3 4
3 Blackpool 2 1 0 1 4:5 2
4 Aston Villa U21 2 0 0 2 3:7 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bradford City 2 2 0 0 6:1 6
2 Newcastle Utd U21 2 1 0 1 4:3 3
3 Rotherham 2 1 0 1 1:5 2
4 York City 2 0 0 2 2:4 1
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chesterfield 2 2 0 0 6:4 5
2 Port Vale 2 1 0 1 3:1 4
3 Manchester City U21 2 1 0 1 7:6 3
4 Mansfield 2 0 0 2 1:6 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Stockport County 2 2 0 0 8:3 6
2 Tranmere 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
3 Everton U21 1 0 0 1 3:6 0
4 Shrewsbury 2 0 0 2 0:3 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Notts County 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
2 Burton 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
3 Nottingham U21 1 1 0 0 1:1 2
4 Grimsby 2 0 0 2 1:2 1
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fleetwood Town 2 1 0 1 4:2 3
2 Leeds U21 1 1 0 0 4:3 3
3 Oldham 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
4 Barnsley 2 0 0 2 4:8 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Huddersfield 2 2 0 0 8:1 6
2 Doncaster 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
3 Liverpool U21 2 1 0 1 3:4 2
4 Rochdale 2 0 0 2 3:8 1
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Exeter 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
2 Cheltenham 1 1 0 0 2:2 2
3 Oxford Utd 1 0 0 1 2:2 1
4 Tottenham U21 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Stevenage 2 2 0 0 8:2 6
2 Leicester 2 1 0 1 7:3 3
3 Walsall 1 0 0 1 1:6 0
4 Fulham U21 1 0 0 1 1:6 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wycombe 3 2 0 1 7:3 7
2 Reading 1 1 0 0 1:1 2
3 Chelsea U21 2 1 0 1 3:4 2
4 Bristol Rovers 2 0 0 2 3:6 1
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 12)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Peterborough 2 2 0 0 7:2 6
2 Luton 2 2 0 0 7:1 5
3 Colchester 2 0 0 2 2:4 1
4 Ipswich U21 2 0 0 2 1:10 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 13)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Plymouth 2 2 0 0 7:3 5
2 Newport 2 1 0 1 4:2 4
3 Crystal Palace U21 2 1 0 1 3:6 3
4 Swindon 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 14)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barnet 2 2 0 0 5:1 5
2 Arsenal U21 2 1 0 1 3:6 3
3 AFC Wimbledon 2 0 0 2 1:1 2
4 Leyton Orient 2 1 0 1 2:3 2
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 15)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cambridge Utd 2 2 0 0 6:2 6
2 Brighton U21 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
3 Gillingham 1 0 0 1 1:4 0
4 Northampton 2 0 0 2 1:5 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 16)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Milton Keynes Dons 2 2 0 0 11:2 6
2 Crawley Town 2 1 0 1 5:4 3
3 Brentford U21 2 1 0 1 2:7 3
4 Bromley 2 0 0 2 0:5 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)