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Shrewsbury W vs Lye Town W

England England

Women’s FA Cup 2021/2022 The Croud Meadow
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Shrewsbury W play Lye Town W in the Women’s FA Cup 2021/2022. It looks like a close match. Recently, Shrewsbury W averaged 2 goals scored and 5.8 conceded. Lye Town W averaged 1.2 goals scored and 3.6 conceded. In past meetings, Shrewsbury W won 0, Lye Town W won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Nov 14, 2021 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.80 for Shrewsbury W and 3.50 for Lye Town W. This points to a Shrewsbury W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Shrewsbury W
15%
Draws
34%
Lye Town W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Shrewsbury W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence
  • Shrewsbury W picked up more points recently compared to Lye Town W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.80 vs 3.50 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 100%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 100%
Over 3.5 Goals 60%
Over 4.5 Goals 30%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 82%
Shrewsbury W Clean Sheet 10%
Lye Town W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 90%
Second Half Goal 95%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shrewsbury W Lye Town W
Matches Played 5 5
Wins 2 1
Draws 0 0
Losses 3 4
Goals Scored 2 1.2
Goals Conceded 5.8 3.6
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.20
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 5.80 3.60

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 14, 2021 Women’s FA Cup
Shrewsbury W vs Lye Town W
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shrewsbury W 48 / 100
Lye Town W 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shrewsbury W Lye Town W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Shrewsbury W or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +18.8%
2.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +6%
1.06
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Shrewsbury W attacking → ← attacking Lye Town W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shrewsbury W scored in 80% of their last 5 games.

Lye Town W let in goals in 100% of their last 5 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Shrewsbury W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Lye Town W lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

6 Points in last 5 3
2.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.20
5.80 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.60