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Stadium Background

Shturmi vs Locomotive Tbilisi

Georgia Georgia

Georgian Cup 2025 Sartichala Central Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Gvasalia G.
48' Event
Shashiashvili S.
52' Event
Kvelashvili N.

AI Match Summary

The Georgian Cup 2025 game between Shturmi and Locomotive Tbilisi finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Locomotive Tbilisi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Shturmi
40%
Draws
29%
Locomotive Tbilisi
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Shturmi come out ahead of Locomotive Tbilisi on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Knockout football tends to sharpen focus — no second leg to fall back on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Shturmi Clean Sheet 20%
Locomotive Tbilisi Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shturmi Locomotive Tbilisi
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 9
Draws 11 6
Losses 5 15
Goals Scored 0.88 0.88
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2025 Georgian Cup
Shturmi vs Locomotive Tbilisi
1:2
Nov 2, 2024 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Shturmi vs Locomotive Tbilisi
2:1
Aug 28, 2024 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Locomotive Tbilisi vs Shturmi
0:2
May 19, 2024 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Shturmi vs Locomotive Tbilisi
1:2
Mar 29, 2024 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Locomotive Tbilisi vs Shturmi
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shturmi Compare

Top Goalscorer Gvasalia G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Locomotive Tbilisi Compare

Top Goalscorer Shashiashvili S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kvelashvili N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shturmi 32 / 100
Locomotive Tbilisi 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shturmi Locomotive Tbilisi

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Locomotive Tbilisi let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Shturmi scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Shturmi stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Shturmi VS Locomotive Tbilisi
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 38%
13% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Meshakhte Tkibuli-
TBD-
TBD-
Gagra-
UG-353
Skuri Tsalenjikha1
TBD-
Merani Martvili-
Iberia 1999-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Torpedo Kutaisi-
Algeti Marneuli3
Orbi0
Bakhmaro Chokhatauri0
Shturmi4
Locomotive Tbilisi-
TBD-
TBD-
Dinamo Tbilisi 2-
Margveti 20060
FC Tbilisi 20253
TBD-
Bolnisi-
Gagra 22
WIT Georgia 20
TBD-
Dinamo Batumi-
Gonio-
TBD-
TBD-
Samgurali-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Dila Gori-
Spaeri-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
FC Gareji Sagarejo-
TBD-
TBD-
Kolkheti 1913-
Didube2
WIT Georgia3
TBD-
Iberia 1999 2-
FC Rustavi-
TBD-
TBD-
Telavi-
Samtskhe2
Betlemi Keda1
FC Rustavi 20
Odishi 19191
Samtredia-
TBD-
TBD-
Dinamo Tbilisi-
1/16-finals
Meshakhte Tkibuli2
Gagra1
UG-352
Merani Martvili8
Iberia 1999-
TBD-
TBD-
Torpedo Kutaisi-
Algeti Marneuli0
Shturmi8
Locomotive Tbilisi3
Dinamo Tbilisi 20
FC Tbilisi 20252
Bolnisi3
Gagra 20
Dinamo Batumi5
Gonio0
Samgurali1
TBD-
Dila Gori-
Spaeri-
TBD-
FC Gareji Sagarejo1
Kolkheti 19132
WIT Georgia1
Iberia 1999 22
FC Rustavi1
Telavi0
Samtskhe0
Odishi 19191
Samtredia1
Dinamo Tbilisi0
1/8-finals
Meshakhte Tkibuli3
Merani Martvili1
Iberia 19992
Torpedo Kutaisi1
Shturmi1
Locomotive Tbilisi2
Bolnisi2
Dinamo Batumi3
Samgurali0
Dila Gori1
Spaeri4
Kolkheti 19132
Iberia 1999 22
FC Rustavi3
Odishi 19190
Samtredia3
Quarter-finals
Meshakhte Tkibuli0
Iberia 19993
Locomotive Tbilisi0
Dinamo Batumi3
Dila Gori2
Spaeri1
FC Rustavi1
Samtredia2
Semi-finals
Iberia 19995
Dinamo Batumi1
Dila Gori2
Samtredia0
Final
Iberia 19991
Dila Gori3