Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Shturmi vs Merani Martvili

Georgia Georgia

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 Sartichala Central Stadium, Sartichala
Shturmi Logo

Shturmi

2 - 1
FT
Merani Martvili Logo

Merani Martvili

Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Kharabadze N.
Own Goal
41'
Kharabadze N.
46'
Sub
Khelaia D. In: Kadaria L.
Out: Khelaia D.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Shturmi in this Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Shturmi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Shturmi
15%
Draws
32%
Merani Martvili
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Shturmi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Merani Martvili average 1.2 goals a game right now, well clear of Shturmi's 1.1.
  • Shturmi are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Shturmi Clean Sheet 68%
Merani Martvili Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shturmi Merani Martvili
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 12
Draws 11 7
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 1.1 1.2
Goals Conceded 0.87 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Shturmi vs Merani Martvili
2:1
May 6, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Merani Martvili vs Shturmi
0:0
Mar 7, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Shturmi vs Merani Martvili
0:0
Dec 16, 2024 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Merani Martvili vs Shturmi
1:1
Dec 12, 2024 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Shturmi vs Merani Martvili
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shturmi Compare

Top Goalscorer Omarashvili G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Merani Martvili Compare

Top Goalscorer Tsulaia L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shturmi 95 / 100
Merani Martvili 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shturmi Merani Martvili

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shturmi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Shturmi scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Merani Martvili let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Solid form: Shturmi remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Merani Martvili lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Shturmi VS Merani Martvili
1.38 Goals Scored 0.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Shturmi

(Home)
20 Sept
Shturmi
1 : 0
FC Gareji Sagarejo
16 Sept
Telavi
1 : 1
Shturmi
12 Sept
Shturmi
2 : 0
Odishi 1919
06 Sept
Dusheti
3 : 4
Shturmi
29 Aug
Gori
3 : 1
Shturmi
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Merani Martvili

(Away)
20 Sept
Samtredia
5 : 0
Merani Martvili
16 Sept
Merani Martvili
2 : 1
Bolnisi
12 Sept
Merani Martvili
3 : 1
Dusheti
06 Sept
Kolkheti 1913
2 : 0
Merani Martvili
29 Aug
Merani Martvili
1 : 2
FC Gareji Sagarejo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Gareji Sagarejo 27 14 8 5 35:28 50
2 Telavi 27 11 10 6 29:25 43
3 Shturmi 27 11 10 6 29:23 43
4 Merani Martvili 27 10 7 10 30:34 37
5 Samtredia 27 11 4 12 48:40 37
6 Dusheti 27 10 5 12 30:37 35
7 Bolnisi 27 8 9 10 35:34 33
8 Odishi 1919 27 8 8 11 29:37 32
9 Kolkheti 1913 27 6 10 11 34:33 28
10 Gori 27 6 9 12 27:35 27
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga 3 2027 (Main)