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Shturmi vs Zestafoni

Georgia Georgia

Liga 3 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Liga 3 2023 game between Shturmi and Zestafoni finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Shturmi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Shturmi
33%
Draws
27%
Zestafoni
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Shturmi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Shturmi come out ahead of Zestafoni on wins alone.
  • Shturmi are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Shturmi Clean Sheet 20%
Zestafoni Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shturmi Zestafoni
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 18 6
Draws 11 11
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 1.13 0
Goals Conceded 0.75 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 17, 2023 Liga 3
Shturmi vs Zestafoni
2:1
May 23, 2023 Liga 3
Zestafoni vs Shturmi
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shturmi 40 / 100
Zestafoni 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shturmi Zestafoni

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SHT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zestafoni has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Shturmi scored in 74% of their last 35 games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Shturmi has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Shturmi VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Shturmi

(Home)
26 Jul
Samtredia
2 : 1
Shturmi
26 Jun
West Georgia
0 : 2
Shturmi
22 Jun
Kolkheti 1913
0 : 0
Shturmi
17 Jun
FC Gareji Sagarejo
0 : 0
Shturmi
13 Jun
Shturmi
0 : 2
Telavi
Page 1 of 7

Zestafoni

(Away)
07 Dec
Meshakhte Tkibuli
3 : 0
Zestafoni
29 Nov
Zestafoni
2 : 1
FC Tbilisi 2025
21 Nov
Merani Tbilisi
2 : 2
Zestafoni
14 Nov
Zestafoni
0 : 0
Merani Martvili
07 Nov
FC Gardabani
2 : 2
Zestafoni
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Dusheti30215466:2168
2Shturmi30215467:2768
3FC Rustavi30194763:3161
4FC Tbilisi 202530193854:3560
5Meshakhte Tkibuli301510549:2455
6Orbi301551056:4150
7Iberia 1999 230129945:2645
8Gori301341346:4843
9Guria301161344:5539
10Locomotive Tbilisi 2301051550:4235
11Borjomi301121750:7835
12Bakhmaro Chokhatauri30961547:4733
13Zestafoni306111333:4629
14Matchakhela30822038:8126
15FC Merani-91 Tbilisi II304101630:5822
16Chikhura Sachkhere30212723:1017
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2024 (Main)
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2023 (Relegation)