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Shturmi vs Zestafoni Prediction & H2H Stats

Georgia Georgia

Liga 3 2023
Shturmi Logo

Shturmi

2 - 1
FT
Zestafoni Logo

Zestafoni

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Liga 3 2023 game between Shturmi and Zestafoni finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Shturmi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Shturmi
35%
Draws
24%
Zestafoni
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Shturmi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Shturmi come out ahead of Zestafoni on wins alone.
  • Shturmi are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Shturmi Clean Sheet 20%
Zestafoni Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shturmi Zestafoni
Matches Played 38 30
Wins 19 6
Draws 12 11
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 1.53 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.76 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 17, 2023 Liga 3
Shturmi vs Zestafoni
2:1
May 23, 2023 Liga 3
Zestafoni vs Shturmi
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shturmi 67 / 100
Zestafoni 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shturmi Zestafoni

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shturmi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zestafoni has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Shturmi scored in 76% of their last 38 games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Shturmi has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Shturmi VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Shturmi

(Home)
20 Sept
Shturmi
1 : 0
FC Gareji Sagarejo
16 Sept
Telavi
1 : 1
Shturmi
12 Sept
Shturmi
2 : 0
Odishi 1919
06 Sept
Dusheti
3 : 4
Shturmi
29 Aug
Gori
3 : 1
Shturmi
Page 1 of 8

Zestafoni

(Away)
07 Dec
Meshakhte Tkibuli
3 : 0
Zestafoni
29 Nov
Zestafoni
2 : 1
FC Tbilisi 2025
21 Nov
Merani Tbilisi
2 : 2
Zestafoni
14 Nov
Zestafoni
0 : 0
Merani Martvili
07 Nov
FC Gardabani
2 : 2
Zestafoni
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dusheti 30 21 5 4 66:21 68
2 Shturmi 30 21 5 4 67:27 68
3 FC Rustavi 30 19 4 7 63:31 61
4 FC Tbilisi 2025 30 19 3 8 54:35 60
5 Meshakhte Tkibuli 30 15 10 5 49:24 55
6 Orbi 30 15 5 10 56:41 50
7 Iberia 1999 2 30 12 9 9 45:26 45
8 Gori 30 13 4 13 46:48 43
9 Guria 30 11 6 13 44:55 39
10 Locomotive Tbilisi 2 30 10 5 15 50:42 35
11 Borjomi 30 11 2 17 50:78 35
12 Bakhmaro Chokhatauri 30 9 6 15 47:47 33
13 Zestafoni 30 6 11 13 33:46 29
14 Matchakhela 30 8 2 20 38:81 26
15 FC Merani-91 Tbilisi II 30 4 10 16 30:58 22
16 Chikhura Sachkhere 30 2 1 27 23:101 7
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2024 (Main)
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2023 (Relegation)