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Shumen 1929 vs Belitsa

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-East 2014/2015
Shumen 1929 Logo

Shumen 1929

5 - 1
FT
Belitsa Logo

Belitsa

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Shumen 1929 in this Third League - North-East 2014/2015 matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Shumen 1929.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Shumen 1929
30%
Draws
41%
Belitsa
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Belitsa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Shumen 1929 have won more games recently than Belitsa.
  • 29% — that's where the model lands on Shumen 1929 taking it.
  • Regular Third League - North-East 2014/2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Belitsa here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Shumen 1929 Clean Sheet 14%
Belitsa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shumen 1929 Belitsa
Matches Played 34 32
Wins 12 11
Draws 7 5
Losses 15 16
Goals Scored 1.62 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.81
Expected Goals (xG) 1.79 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2015 Third League - North-East
Shumen 1929 vs Belitsa
5:1
Nov 23, 2014 Third League - North-East
Belitsa vs Shumen 1929
2:1
Apr 27, 2014 Third League - North-East
Shumen 1929 vs Belitsa
0:1
Oct 13, 2013 Third League - North-East
Belitsa vs Shumen 1929
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shumen 1929 57 / 100
Belitsa 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shumen 1929 Belitsa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shumen 1929 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Shumen 1929 scored in 68% of their last 34 games.

Belitsa let in goals in 75% of their last 32 matches.

Shumen 1929 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Shumen 1929 VS -
2.38 Goals Scored 0
2.25 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
75% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Shumen 1929

(Home)
22 May
Shumen 1929
0 : 0
Septemvri Tervel
15 May
Inter Plachidol
3 : 2
Shumen 1929
07 May
Shumen 1929
1 : 1
Botev Novi Pazar
29 Apr
Chernomorets Balchik
3 : 0
Shumen 1929
23 Apr
Shumen 1929
3 : 0
Dve Mogili
Page 1 of 7

Belitsa

(Away)
24 May
Shumen 1929
5 : 1
Belitsa
20 May
Belitsa
4 : 0
Provadia
17 May
Dorostol
1 : 4
Belitsa
09 May
Belitsa
0 : 5
Kaliakra
06 May
Benkovski Byala
1 : 1
Belitsa
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dunav Ruse 30 28 1 1 121:11 85
2 Chernomorets Balchik 30 24 4 2 85:14 76
3 Kaliakra 30 23 3 4 93:21 72
4 Suvorovo 30 19 2 9 47:38 59
5 FK Ticha 30 17 2 11 59:38 53
6 Benkovski Byala 30 15 4 11 46:39 49
7 Septemvri Tervel 30 15 1 14 43:46 46
8 Kubrat 30 14 3 13 48:45 45
9 Svetkavitsa 30 14 3 13 42:44 45
10 Botev Novi Pazar 30 12 2 16 45:61 38
11 Belitsa 30 10 4 16 39:58 34
12 Shumen 1929 30 9 5 16 41:52 32
13 Dve Mogili 30 6 4 20 19:53 22
14 Chernomorets Byala 30 6 3 21 25:68 21
15 Provadia 30 4 1 25 30:109 13
16 Dorostol 30 2 2 26 12:98 8
Promotion - B PFG 2015/2016 (Main)