Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Shumen 2007 vs Dunav Ruse II

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-East 2023/2024
Sat, Nov 4, 2023
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Shumen 2007 host Dunav Ruse II in the Third League - North-East 2023/2024. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Shumen 2007 have averaged 0.8 scored and 2.87 conceded recently, against Dunav Ruse II's 1.22 scored and 2.61 conceded. Past meetings favor Shumen 2007 slightly — 1-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Nov 4, 2023, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.23 xG vs 0.61) point toward Dunav Ruse II. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Shumen 2007
15%
Draws
26%
Dunav Ruse II
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Shumen 2007

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Dunav Ruse II's 1.22 goals per match outpaces what Shumen 2007 have produced (0.8).
  • Model gives Shumen 2007 a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Shumen 2007 Clean Sheet 20%
Dunav Ruse II Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shumen 2007 Dunav Ruse II
Matches Played 15 18
Wins 3 3
Draws 1 4
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 0.8 1.22
Goals Conceded 2.87 2.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.61
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 4, 2023 Third League - North-East
Shumen 2007 vs Dunav Ruse II
0:0
May 14, 2023 Third League - North-East
Dunav Ruse II vs Shumen 2007
0:1
Nov 6, 2022 Third League - North-East
Shumen 2007 vs Dunav Ruse II
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shumen 2007 42 / 100
Dunav Ruse II 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shumen 2007 Dunav Ruse II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dunav Ruse II's defensive record shows goals conceded in 89% of 18 matches.

Shumen 2007 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Dunav Ruse II's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Shumen 2007 scored in 47% of their last 15 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Dunav Ruse II
0 Goals Scored 0.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Shumen 2007

(Home)
03 Jun
Chernolomets
8 : 0
Shumen 2007
21 May
Shumen 2007
3 : 2
Botev Novi Pazar
14 May
Dunav Ruse II
0 : 1
Shumen 2007
06 May
Shumen 2007
0 : 0
Dorostol
30 Apr
Ustrem Donchevo
4 : 1
Shumen 2007
Page 1 of 3

Dunav Ruse II

(Away)
29 May
Dunav Ruse II
0 : 3
Spartak Varna II
25 May
Cherno More II
3 : 0
Dunav Ruse II
11 May
Svetkavitsa
2 : 1
Dunav Ruse II
01 May
Dorostol
2 : 0
Dunav Ruse II
28 Apr
Dunav Ruse II
6 : 0
Kubrat
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ludogorets III 26 19 4 3 69:16 61
2 Fratria 26 19 4 3 71:20 61
3 Septemvri Tervel 26 18 4 4 52:19 58
4 Cherno More II 26 16 8 2 49:17 56
5 Chernolomets 26 17 2 7 54:31 53
6 Spartak Varna II 26 16 2 8 66:27 50
7 Benkovski 26 11 2 13 48:45 35
8 Dorostol 26 10 4 12 36:50 34
9 FK Riltzi 26 9 6 11 40:45 33
10 Ustrem Donchevo 26 7 4 15 36:58 25
11 Svetkavitsa 26 4 7 15 26:54 19
12 Dunav Ruse II 26 4 4 18 26:64 16
13 Lokomotiv Ruse 26 2 5 19 22:73 11
14 Kubrat 26 2 0 24 10:86 6
15 Shumen 2007 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
16 Sportist Toshevo 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Vtora liga 2024/2025 (Main)