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Shymkent vs Ak Bulak

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First Division 2012
Shymkent Logo

Shymkent

1 - 2
FT
Ak Bulak Logo

Ak Bulak

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The First Division 2012 game between Shymkent and Ak Bulak finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ak Bulak.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
Shymkent
15%
Draws
68%
Ak Bulak
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ak Bulak

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ak Bulak come out ahead of Shymkent on wins alone.
  • Ak Bulak are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Ak Bulak here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Shymkent Clean Sheet 10%
Ak Bulak Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shymkent Ak Bulak
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 2 12
Draws 6 5
Losses 22 13
Goals Scored 0.77 1.47
Goals Conceded 2.8 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 7, 2013 First League
Ak Bulak vs Shymkent
7:2
Jul 6, 2013 First League
Shymkent vs Ak Bulak
0:3
Sep 2, 2012 First League
Shymkent vs Ak Bulak
1:2
Jun 10, 2012 First League
Ak Bulak vs Shymkent
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shymkent 10 / 100
Ak Bulak 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shymkent Ak Bulak

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ak Bulak Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.25 goals.

Ak Bulak let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Shymkent scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Shymkent went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Shymkent VS Ak Bulak
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
3.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Shymkent

(Home)
26 Oct
Kyzylzhar
6 : 1
Shymkent
23 Oct
Okzhetpes
6 : 0
Shymkent
16 Oct
Shymkent
0 : 1
Zhenis
13 Oct
Shymkent
1 : 3
Gefest Karagandy
01 Oct
CSKA Almaty
1 : 2
Shymkent
Page 1 of 6

Ak Bulak

(Away)
26 Oct
Ak Bulak
2 : 0
Maqtaaral
23 Oct
Ak Bulak
1 : 0
FK Kyran
16 Oct
Bayterek Astana
0 : 2
Ak Bulak
13 Oct
Shakhtar Bulat
1 : 4
Ak Bulak
01 Oct
Sunkar
2 : 1
Ak Bulak
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ile-Saulet 30 17 10 3 52:20 61
2 Vostok Oskemen 30 16 9 5 40:21 57
3 Zhenis 30 16 9 5 38:17 57
4 Bayterek Astana 30 14 11 5 39:19 53
5 FK Kyran 30 14 6 10 51:38 48
6 Spartak Semey 30 14 4 12 38:45 46
7 Shakhtar Bulat 30 12 10 8 30:23 46
8 Kaspij Aktau 30 12 7 11 39:31 43
9 Ak Bulak 30 11 8 11 34:29 41
10 Taraz-Karatau 2 30 11 8 11 33:28 41
11 Kyzylzhar 30 11 7 12 36:43 40
12 FC Ekibastuz 30 11 4 15 45:43 37
13 Kairat Almaty 2 30 9 9 12 37:41 36
14 Aktobe Zhas 30 8 2 20 31:62 26
15 CSKA Almaty 30 4 6 20 18:55 18
16 Shymkent 30 3 4 23 20:66 13
Promotion - Premier League 2013 (Main)