Sport Picks
Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Czarni Polaniec - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Poland
III Liga - Group IV 
Match Events
68'
68'
Platek G.
AI Match Summary
Czarni Polaniec in this III Liga - Group IV matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Czarni Polaniec.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
30%
47%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Czarni Polaniec
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Czarni Polaniec have won more games recently than Siarka Tarnobrzeg.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- Regular III Liga - Group IV form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Siarka Tarnobrzeg Clean Sheet 15%
Czarni Polaniec Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Siarka Tarnobrzeg | Czarni Polaniec |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 27 |
| Wins | 8 | 14 |
| Draws | 8 | 5 |
| Losses | 13 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.34 | 1.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.59 | 1.3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 8, 2026 III Liga - Group IV
Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Czarni Polaniec
0:1
Apr 18, 2026 III Liga - Group IV
Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Czarni Polaniec
1:1
Sep 27, 2025 III Liga - Group IV
Czarni Polaniec vs Siarka Tarnobrzeg
1:5
Nov 23, 2024 III Liga - Group IV
Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Czarni Polaniec
2:1
Aug 3, 2024 III Liga - Group IV
Czarni Polaniec vs Siarka Tarnobrzeg
2:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Siarka Tarnobrzeg Compare
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Czarni Polaniec Compare
Top Goalscorer Platek G.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Siarka Tarnobrzeg 35 / 100
Czarni Polaniec 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Siarka Tarnobrzeg Czarni Polaniec
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Czarni Polaniec Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.
Siarka Tarnobrzeg's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Czarni Polaniec let in goals in 70% of their last 27 matches.
Siarka Tarnobrzeg has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Siarka Tarnobrzeg VS Czarni Polaniec
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
(Home) 09 Oct
Wislanie Skawina
4 : 1 Siarka Tarnobrzeg
03 Oct
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
1 : 2 Korona Kielce II
26 Sept
Star Starachowice
4 : 1 Siarka Tarnobrzeg
19 Sept
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
2 : 0 Biala Podlaska
12 Sept
Chelmianka Chelm
1 : 1 Siarka Tarnobrzeg
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
1 : 2 Korona Kielce II
19 Sept
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
2 : 0 Biala Podlaska
01 Sept
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
3 : 2 Zaglebie
29 Aug
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
1 : 0 Wisloka Debica
19 Aug
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
1 : 3 Jaroslaw
Page 1 of 3
Czarni Polaniec
(Away) 03 Oct
Czarni Polaniec
1 : 1 Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
25 Sept
Wisla II
1 : 1 Czarni Polaniec
19 Sept
Czarni Polaniec
2 : 5 Naprzod Jedrzejow
13 Sept
Moravia Morawica
1 : 2 Czarni Polaniec
05 Sept
Czarni Polaniec
3 : 0 Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
Page 1 of 6
25 Sept
Wisla II
1 : 1 Czarni Polaniec
13 Sept
Moravia Morawica
1 : 2 Czarni Polaniec
28 Aug
Wislanie Skawina
0 : 1 Czarni Polaniec
22 Aug
Korona Kielce II
3 : 4 Czarni Polaniec
19 Aug
Star Starachowice
2 : 0 Czarni Polaniec
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chelmianka Chelm | 12 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 20:6 | 30 |
| 2 | Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 21:9 | 23 |
| 3 | Wisloka Debica | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 16:13 | 23 |
| 4 | Wislanie Skawina | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 19:12 | 20 |
| 5 | Naprzod Jedrzejow | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 27:21 | 20 |
| 6 | Czarni Polaniec | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 18:16 | 20 |
| 7 | Jaroslaw | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 28:22 | 17 |
| 8 | Wisla II | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 15:17 | 16 |
| 9 | Korona Kielce II | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 27:27 | 14 |
| 10 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15:19 | 14 |
| 11 | Hetman Zamosc | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 20:20 | 14 |
| 12 | Busko-Zdroj | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 17:26 | 14 |
| 13 | Kolbuszowa Dolna | 11 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 12:12 | 13 |
| 14 | Biala Podlaska | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10:17 | 12 |
| 15 | KS Wieczysta Krakow II | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 11:15 | 12 |
| 16 | Star Starachowice | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 14:19 | 11 |
| 17 | Moravia Morawica | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13:22 | 9 |
| 18 | Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 12:22 | 8 |
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)
