Sport Picks
Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Korona Kielce II - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Poland
III Liga - Group IV 
Match Events
48'
48'
Nojszewski J.
49'
49'
Waclawek B.
67'
67'
Strzebonski M.
AI Match Summary
Korona Kielce II in this III Liga - Group IV matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Korona Kielce II.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
20%
57%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Korona Kielce II
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
23%
/ Low Confidence
- Siarka Tarnobrzeg haven't matched Korona Kielce II's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Siarka Tarnobrzeg's way, sitting at 50%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Siarka Tarnobrzeg Clean Sheet 15%
Korona Kielce II Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Siarka Tarnobrzeg | Korona Kielce II |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 31 |
| Wins | 11 | 13 |
| Draws | 8 | 5 |
| Losses | 13 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 1.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 3, 2026 III Liga - Group IV
Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Korona Kielce II
1:2
Mar 28, 2026 III Liga - Group IV
Korona Kielce II vs Siarka Tarnobrzeg
1:2
Sep 6, 2025 III Liga - Group IV
Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Korona Kielce II
3:1
Apr 12, 2025 III Liga - Group IV
Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Korona Kielce II
1:3
Feb 22, 2025 Club Friendly
Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Korona Kielce II
2:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Siarka Tarnobrzeg Compare
Top Goalscorer Waclawek B.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Korona Kielce II Compare
Top Goalscorer Nojszewski J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Strzebonski M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Siarka Tarnobrzeg 48 / 100
Korona Kielce II 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Siarka Tarnobrzeg Korona Kielce II
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Siarka Tarnobrzeg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Korona Kielce II's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 31 matches.
These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.
Attacking prowess: Siarka Tarnobrzeg scored in 78% of their last 32 outings.
Solid form: Siarka Tarnobrzeg remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Siarka Tarnobrzeg VS Korona Kielce II
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
(Home) 09 Oct
Wislanie Skawina
4 : 1 Siarka Tarnobrzeg
03 Oct
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
1 : 2 Korona Kielce II
26 Sept
Star Starachowice
4 : 1 Siarka Tarnobrzeg
19 Sept
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
2 : 0 Biala Podlaska
12 Sept
Chelmianka Chelm
1 : 1 Siarka Tarnobrzeg
Page 1 of 7
03 Oct
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
1 : 2 Korona Kielce II
19 Sept
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
2 : 0 Biala Podlaska
01 Sept
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
3 : 2 Zaglebie
29 Aug
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
1 : 0 Wisloka Debica
19 Aug
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
1 : 3 Jaroslaw
Page 1 of 4
Korona Kielce II
(Away) 10 Oct
Korona Kielce II
4 : 0 Biala Podlaska
03 Oct
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
1 : 2 Korona Kielce II
26 Sept
Korona Kielce II
1 : 0 KS Wieczysta Krakow II
19 Sept
Wisloka Debica
1 : 0 Korona Kielce II
12 Sept
Korona Kielce II
2 : 2 Kolbuszowa Dolna
Page 1 of 7
03 Oct
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
1 : 2 Korona Kielce II
19 Sept
Wisloka Debica
1 : 0 Korona Kielce II
05 Sept
Jaroslaw
6 : 2 Korona Kielce II
14 Aug
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
3 : 2 Korona Kielce II
01 Aug
Naprzod Jedrzejow
5 : 4 Korona Kielce II
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chelmianka Chelm | 12 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 20:6 | 30 |
| 2 | Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 21:9 | 23 |
| 3 | Naprzod Jedrzejow | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 28:21 | 23 |
| 4 | Wisloka Debica | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 16:13 | 23 |
| 5 | Czarni Polaniec | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 18:17 | 20 |
| 6 | Wislanie Skawina | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 19:12 | 20 |
| 7 | Jaroslaw | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 28:22 | 17 |
| 8 | Hetman Zamosc | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 21:20 | 17 |
| 9 | Wisla II | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 15:17 | 16 |
| 10 | Korona Kielce II | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 27:27 | 14 |
| 11 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15:19 | 14 |
| 12 | Busko-Zdroj | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 17:26 | 14 |
| 13 | Kolbuszowa Dolna | 12 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 12:13 | 13 |
| 14 | Biala Podlaska | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10:17 | 12 |
| 15 | KS Wieczysta Krakow II | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 11:15 | 12 |
| 16 | Star Starachowice | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 14:19 | 11 |
| 17 | Moravia Morawica | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13:22 | 9 |
| 18 | Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 12:22 | 8 |
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)
