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Siauliai 2 vs Garliava - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Lithuania Lithuania

I Lyga
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Siauliai 2 host Garliava in the I Lyga. This one's hard to separate. Siauliai 2 have averaged 1.34 scored and 2.14 conceded recently, against Garliava's 1.24 scored and 1.14 conceded. Past meetings favor Siauliai 2 slightly — 1-1-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 29, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.38 vs 1.31, favoring Garliava. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Siauliai 2
15%
Draws
28%
Garliava
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Siauliai 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Garliava lately — more wins on the board than Siauliai 2.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Siauliai 2 Clean Sheet 18%
Garliava Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Siauliai 2 Garliava
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 10
Draws 6 4
Losses 17 15
Goals Scored 1.34 1.24
Goals Conceded 2.14 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 29, 2026 I Lyga
Garliava vs Siauliai 2
1:1
Aug 2, 2024 I Lyga
Garliava vs Siauliai 2
2:4
Mar 9, 2024 I Lyga
Siauliai 2 vs Garliava
0:0
Oct 7, 2023 I Lyga
Siauliai 2 vs Garliava
3:3
May 20, 2023 I Lyga
Garliava vs Siauliai 2
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Siauliai 2 31 / 100
Garliava 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Siauliai 2 Garliava

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Siauliai 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Siauliai 2's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Garliava conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Garliava's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Siauliai 2 VS Garliava
1.5 Goals Scored 0.63
2 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Siauliai 2

(Home)
19 Sept
Ekranas
2 : 6
Siauliai 2
14 Sept
Siauliai 2
0 : 2
BE1 NFA
04 Sept
Hegelmann Litauen 2
5 : 1
Siauliai 2
28 Aug
Siauliai 2
1 : 2
FK Minija
21 Aug
Jonava
0 : 1
Siauliai 2
Page 1 of 6

Garliava

(Away)
02 Oct
Garliava
2 : 1
Dainava Alytus
19 Sept
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
3 : 2
Garliava
12 Sept
Garliava
2 : 3
BFA Vilnius
05 Sept
Ekranas
1 : 0
Garliava
29 Aug
Garliava
0 : 1
FK Babrungas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Minija 25 22 1 2 68:13 67
2 FK Babrungas 25 19 4 2 43:11 61
3 BE1 NFA 24 16 2 6 44:24 50
4 Neptunas 25 14 2 9 33:30 44
5 BFA Vilnius 25 13 4 8 39:35 43
6 Zalgiris 2 25 13 4 8 38:32 43
7 Tauras Taurage 25 13 4 8 43:31 43
8 Dainava Alytus 25 11 7 7 35:25 40
9 FK Atmosfera 24 8 6 10 37:33 30
10 Garliava 25 8 4 13 31:28 28
11 Jonava 25 7 6 12 28:33 27
12 FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 25 7 1 17 23:43 22
13 Transinvest 2 25 6 3 16 29:58 21
14 Hegelmann Litauen 2 25 6 1 18 26:59 19
15 Siauliai 2 25 4 5 16 27:56 17
16 Ekranas 25 4 2 19 25:58 14
Promotion - TOPLYGA 2027 (Main)
Promotion - TOPLYGA (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga (Relegation)