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Siauliai 2 vs Zalgiris 2 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Lithuania Lithuania

I Lyga
Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
Usavicius J.
62' Event
Seck O.
71' Event
Gustas K.

AI Match Summary

Zalgiris 2 in this I Lyga matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Zalgiris 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Siauliai 2
15%
Draws
64%
Zalgiris 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Zalgiris 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Siauliai 2 haven't matched Zalgiris 2's recent run of results.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular I Lyga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Zalgiris 2 have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Siauliai 2 Clean Sheet 10%
Zalgiris 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Siauliai 2 Zalgiris 2
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 4 15
Draws 5 4
Losses 19 9
Goals Scored 1.11 1.57
Goals Conceded 2.32 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 14, 2026 I Lyga
Siauliai 2 vs Zalgiris 2
1:4
Apr 3, 2026 I Lyga
Zalgiris 2 vs Siauliai 2
4:0
Oct 19, 2025 I Lyga
Siauliai 2 vs Zalgiris 2
1:4
Jun 14, 2025 I Lyga
Zalgiris 2 vs Siauliai 2
2:1
Oct 23, 2023 I Lyga
Siauliai 2 vs Zalgiris 2
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Siauliai 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Gustas K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Zalgiris 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Berenta V.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Usavicius J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Siauliai 2 30 / 100
Zalgiris 2 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Siauliai 2 Zalgiris 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Siauliai 2 scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: Zalgiris 2 conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.

Recent resilience: Siauliai 2 stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Siauliai 2 VS Zalgiris 2
1.63 Goals Scored 1.63
2.5 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Siauliai 2

(Home)
26 Oct
Transinvest 2
3 : 2
Siauliai 2
17 Oct
Siauliai 2
2 : 3
Garliava
09 Oct
Siauliai 2
0 : 3
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
19 Sept
Ekranas
2 : 6
Siauliai 2
14 Sept
Siauliai 2
0 : 2
BE1 NFA
Page 1 of 6

Zalgiris 2

(Away)
23 Oct
Garliava
0 : 2
Zalgiris 2
17 Oct
Zalgiris 2
2 : 3
FK Atmosfera
09 Oct
BFA Vilnius
1 : 2
Zalgiris 2
20 Sept
Zalgiris 2
0 : 1
FK Babrungas
12 Sept
Tauras Taurage
0 : 1
Zalgiris 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Babrungas 29 22 5 2 53:14 71
2 FK Minija 27 22 1 4 71:18 67
3 BE1 NFA 28 18 4 6 51:28 58
4 Zalgiris 2 28 15 4 9 44:36 49
5 Tauras Taurage 28 14 5 9 50:38 47
6 BFA Vilnius 28 14 4 10 42:41 46
7 Dainava Alytus 28 12 8 8 40:29 44
8 Neptunas 29 14 2 13 33:37 44
9 FK Atmosfera 27 10 7 10 43:35 37
10 Garliava 28 9 5 14 34:32 32
11 FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 29 10 1 18 29:45 31
12 Jonava 28 8 6 14 31:38 30
13 Transinvest 2 28 8 4 16 35:61 28
14 Hegelmann Litauen 2 28 7 2 19 31:67 23
15 Ekranas 29 5 3 21 30:64 18
16 Siauliai 2 28 4 5 19 31:65 17
Promotion - TOPLYGA 2027 (Main)
Promotion - TOPLYGA (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga (Relegation)