Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Siauliai 2 vs Zalgiris 2

Lithuania Lithuania

I Lyga
Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
Usavicius J.
62' Event
Seck O.
71' Event
Gustas K.

AI Match Summary

Zalgiris 2 in this I Lyga matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Zalgiris 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Siauliai 2
15%
Draws
67%
Zalgiris 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Zalgiris 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / High Confidence
  • Siauliai 2 haven't matched Zalgiris 2's recent run of results.
  • 67% — that's where the model lands on Zalgiris 2 taking it.
  • Regular I Lyga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Zalgiris 2 have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Siauliai 2 Clean Sheet 10%
Zalgiris 2 Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Siauliai 2 Zalgiris 2
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 13
Draws 6 7
Losses 17 9
Goals Scored 1.24 1.52
Goals Conceded 2.17 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 14, 2026 I Lyga
Siauliai 2 vs Zalgiris 2
1:4
Apr 3, 2026 I Lyga
Zalgiris 2 vs Siauliai 2
4:0
Oct 19, 2025 I Lyga
Siauliai 2 vs Zalgiris 2
1:4
Jun 14, 2025 I Lyga
Zalgiris 2 vs Siauliai 2
2:1
Oct 23, 2023 I Lyga
Siauliai 2 vs Zalgiris 2
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Siauliai 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Gustas K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Zalgiris 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Berenta V.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Usavicius J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Siauliai 2 10 / 100
Zalgiris 2 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Siauliai 2 Zalgiris 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zalgiris 2 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Siauliai 2 scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Zalgiris 2 conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Siauliai 2 stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Siauliai 2 VS Zalgiris 2
0.88 Goals Scored 2.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Siauliai 2

(Home)
04 Sept
Hegelmann Litauen 2
5 : 1
Siauliai 2
28 Aug
Siauliai 2
1 : 2
FK Minija
21 Aug
Jonava
0 : 1
Siauliai 2
14 Aug
Siauliai 2
1 : 4
Zalgiris 2
08 Aug
FK Atmosfera
1 : 1
Siauliai 2
Page 1 of 6

Zalgiris 2

(Away)
07 Sept
Zalgiris 2
1 : 0
Neptunas
28 Aug
Dainava Alytus
0 : 1
Zalgiris 2
25 Aug
Zalgiris 2
4 : 3
Transinvest 2
14 Aug
Siauliai 2
1 : 4
Zalgiris 2
10 Aug
Zalgiris 2
2 : 1
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Minija 22 19 1 2 58:12 58
2 FK Babrungas 23 17 4 2 39:9 55
3 BE1 NFA 22 14 2 6 39:24 44
4 Neptunas 23 13 2 8 30:28 41
5 Tauras Taurage 23 12 4 7 40:28 40
6 Zalgiris 2 23 12 4 7 37:31 40
7 BFA Vilnius 23 12 3 8 35:32 39
8 Dainava Alytus 22 10 7 5 33:20 37
9 FK Atmosfera 22 8 5 9 34:29 29
10 Jonava 23 7 6 10 26:28 27
11 Hegelmann Litauen 2 23 7 1 15 29:51 22
12 Garliava 22 6 4 12 23:24 22
13 Transinvest 2 23 5 3 15 24:55 18
14 FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 22 5 1 16 18:35 16
15 Ekranas 23 4 2 17 22:50 14
16 Siauliai 2 23 3 5 15 21:52 14
Promotion - TOPLYGA 2027 (Main)
Promotion - TOPLYGA (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga (Relegation)