Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sibenik vs Hajduk Split

Croatia Croatia

HNL 2024/2025 Stadion Šubićevac, Šibenik
Our Tip

Match Events

17'
Silic T.
32'
Kalik A.
46'
Sub
Pozo I. In: Peric S.
Out: Pozo I.

AI Match Summary

The HNL 2024/2025 game between Sibenik and Hajduk Split finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hajduk Split.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Sibenik
15%
Draws
57%
Hajduk Split
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hajduk Split

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Hajduk Split come out ahead of Sibenik on wins alone.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Hajduk Split taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Hajduk Split here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Sibenik Clean Sheet 19%
Hajduk Split Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sibenik Hajduk Split
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 7 22
Draws 6 5
Losses 17 6
Goals Scored 1.23 2.09
Goals Conceded 1.7 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 25, 2025 HNL
Sibenik vs Hajduk Split
0:1
Mar 30, 2025 HNL
Hajduk Split vs Sibenik
1:0
Dec 22, 2024 HNL
Sibenik vs Hajduk Split
1:2
Oct 6, 2024 HNL
Hajduk Split vs Sibenik
4:0
May 28, 2023 HNL
Hajduk Split vs Sibenik
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sibenik Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Hajduk Split Compare

Top Goalscorer Pukstas R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.72

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sibenik 12 / 100
Hajduk Split 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sibenik Hajduk Split

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hajduk Split Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sibenik found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Hajduk Split let in goals in 52% of their last 33 matches.

Sibenik has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Hajduk Split
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sibenik

(Home)
10 Sept
Varteks Varazdin (2011)
4 : 1
Sibenik
23 Aug
Sibenik
4 : 1
Hrvatski Vitez Posedarje
16 Aug
Sloga Mravince
2 : 1
Sibenik
13 Aug
Sibenik
1 : 0
Drnis
09 Aug
Sibenik
1 : 2
Vodice
Page 1 of 6

Hajduk Split

(Away)
20 Sept
Rijeka
3 : 0
Hajduk Split
13 Sept
Hajduk Split
1 : 0
Slaven Belupo
08 Sept
Vardarac Vardaroc
0 : 2
Hajduk Split
06 Sept
Rudes
0 : 4
Hajduk Split
31 Aug
Hajduk Split
2 : 0
Lok. Zagreb
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rijeka 36 18 11 7 49:21 65
2 Din. Zagreb 36 19 8 9 69:41 65
3 Hajduk Split 36 17 12 7 49:34 63
4 Varazdin 36 11 16 9 28:24 49
5 Slaven Belupo 36 13 9 14 42:45 48
6 Istra 1961 36 11 15 10 39:42 48
7 Osijek 36 11 9 16 46:52 42
8 Lok. Zagreb 36 10 9 17 45:54 39
9 HNK Gorica 36 9 10 17 29:51 37
10 Sibenik 36 7 9 20 28:60 30
Promotion - Champions League 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2025/2026 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Relegation - Prva NL 2025/2026 (Main)