Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Sibenik in this 2. HNL 2005/2006 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sibenik.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
57%
15%
28%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sibenik
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Not much separates Sibenik and NK Novalja on recent form.
- Model gives Sibenik a 57% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Sibenik here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Sibenik Clean Sheet 19%
NK Novalja Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sibenik | NK Novalja |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 10 |
| Draws | 6 | 3 |
| Losses | 17 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.55 | 1.6 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.10 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 6, 2006 Prva NL
NK Novalja vs Sibenik
0:1
Apr 9, 2006 Prva NL
Sibenik vs NK Novalja
3:0
Mar 11, 2006 Prva NL
Sibenik vs NK Novalja
2:0
Oct 9, 2005 Prva NL
NK Novalja vs Sibenik
2:3
May 7, 2005 Prva NL
Sibenik vs NK Novalja
2:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sibenik 58 / 100
NK Novalja 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sibenik NK Novalja
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sibenik Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sibenik found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (33 games).
NK Novalja has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.
Difficult form: NK Novalja registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Sibenik VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Sibenik
(Home) 10 Sept
Varteks Varazdin (2011)
4 : 1 Sibenik
23 Aug
Sibenik
4 : 1 Hrvatski Vitez Posedarje
16 Aug
Sloga Mravince
2 : 1 Sibenik
13 Aug
Sibenik
1 : 0 Drnis
09 Aug
Sibenik
1 : 2 Vodice
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23 Aug
Sibenik
4 : 1 Hrvatski Vitez Posedarje
13 Aug
Sibenik
1 : 0 Drnis
09 Aug
Sibenik
1 : 2 Vodice
02 Aug
Sibenik
1 : 2 Zagora
26 Jul
Sibenik
3 : 4 Hrvace
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NK Novalja
(Away) 28 Aug
Novigrad Podravski
3 : 0 NK Novalja
26 Sept
NK Novalja
0 : 1 Osijek
29 Aug
NK Novalja
3 : 1 Zagorec Krapina
24 Aug
Mladost Petrinja
3 : 1 NK Novalja
25 Aug
Nosteria
3 : 2 NK Novalja
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28 Aug
Novigrad Podravski
3 : 0 NK Novalja
24 Aug
Mladost Petrinja
3 : 1 NK Novalja
25 Aug
Nosteria
3 : 2 NK Novalja
29 Aug
Ogulin
4 : 1 NK Novalja
29 Aug
Dragovoljac
1 : 3 NK Novalja
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Belisce | 22 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 41:14 | 48 |
| 2 | Graficar Vodovod | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 38:21 | 39 |
| 3 | Bjelovar | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 25:26 | 37 |
| 4 | Vukovar 1991 | 22 | 11 | 2 | 9 | 36:21 | 35 |
| 5 | NK Koprivnica | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 34:23 | 35 |
| 6 | Metalac Osijek | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 28:16 | 33 |
| 7 | Marsonia | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 25:30 | 31 |
| 8 | NK Cakovec | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 33:40 | 28 |
| 9 | Granicar Zupanja | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 28:28 | 25 |
| 10 | Dilj | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 28:44 | 24 |
| 11 | Slavonija Pozega | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 30:42 | 22 |
| 12 | Mladost Molve | 22 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 23:64 | 9 |
Promotion - 2. HNL 2005/2006 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - 2. HNL 2005/2006 (Relegation Group)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sibenik | 21 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 46:24 | 46 |
| 2 | NK Pomorac | 21 | 10 | 9 | 2 | 44:21 | 39 |
| 3 | Croatia Sesvete | 22 | 11 | 2 | 9 | 39:30 | 35 |
| 4 | NK Novalja | 22 | 10 | 3 | 9 | 36:29 | 33 |
| 5 | Imotski | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 27:26 | 32 |
| 6 | Dragovoljac | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 27:26 | 31 |
| 7 | Naftas Ivanic | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 28:30 | 31 |
| 8 | Zadar | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 29:27 | 27 |
| 9 | NK Mosor | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 21:36 | 25 |
| 10 | Solin | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 37:39 | 21 |
| 11 | Segesta | 22 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 21:41 | 20 |
| 12 | Karlovac | 22 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 18:44 | 17 |
Promotion - 2. HNL 2005/2006 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - 2. HNL 2005/2006 (Relegation Group)
