Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sibenik vs Rijeka

Croatia Croatia

HNL 2024/2025 Stadion Šubićevac, Šibenik
Our Tip

Match Events

32'
Bakic O.
44'
Zuta L.
62'
Sub
Cop D. In: Gojak A.
Out: Cop D.

AI Match Summary

The HNL 2024/2025 game between Sibenik and Rijeka finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rijeka.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Sibenik
15%
Draws
46%
Rijeka
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rijeka

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Rijeka come out ahead of Sibenik on wins alone.
  • Model gives Sibenik a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Rijeka have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Sibenik Clean Sheet 19%
Rijeka Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sibenik Rijeka
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 16
Draws 6 7
Losses 17 7
Goals Scored 1.23 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.7 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 0.79 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2025 HNL
Sibenik vs Rijeka
0:1
Mar 7, 2025 HNL
Rijeka vs Sibenik
1:1
Dec 8, 2024 HNL
Sibenik vs Rijeka
0:1
Sep 22, 2024 HNL
Rijeka vs Sibenik
3:0
Apr 8, 2023 HNL
Rijeka vs Sibenik
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sibenik Compare

Avg xG / game 0.61
Avg xA / game 0.4

Rijeka Compare

Top Goalscorer Djouahra N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.72

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sibenik 36 / 100
Rijeka 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sibenik Rijeka

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sibenik scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Rijeka let in goals in 50% of their last 30 matches.

Sibenik has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Rijeka
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 0.38
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sibenik

(Home)
10 Sept
Varteks Varazdin (2011)
4 : 1
Sibenik
23 Aug
Sibenik
4 : 1
Hrvatski Vitez Posedarje
16 Aug
Sloga Mravince
2 : 1
Sibenik
13 Aug
Sibenik
1 : 0
Drnis
09 Aug
Sibenik
1 : 2
Vodice
Page 1 of 6

Rijeka

(Away)
05 Sept
Rijeka
4 : 1
Osijek
31 Aug
HNK Gorica
0 : 0
Rijeka
27 Aug
Rijeka
1 : 4
Midtjylland
23 Aug
Rijeka
3 : 2
Istra 1961
20 Aug
Midtjylland
2 : 0
Rijeka
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rijeka 36 18 11 7 49:21 65
2 Din. Zagreb 36 19 8 9 69:41 65
3 Hajduk Split 36 17 12 7 49:34 63
4 Varazdin 36 11 16 9 28:24 49
5 Slaven Belupo 36 13 9 14 42:45 48
6 Istra 1961 36 11 15 10 39:42 48
7 Osijek 36 11 9 16 46:52 42
8 Lok. Zagreb 36 10 9 17 45:54 39
9 HNK Gorica 36 9 10 17 29:51 37
10 Sibenik 36 7 9 20 28:60 30
Promotion - Champions League 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2025/2026 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Relegation - Prva NL 2025/2026 (Main)