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Sibir Novosibirsk vs D. Bryansk - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division A Gold Stadion Spartak, Novosibirsk
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Nikolaev O.
35' Event
Kobyalko A.
58'
Sub
Teterlev E. In: Novikov A.
Out: Teterlev E.

AI Match Summary

Sibir Novosibirsk in this FNL 2 - Division A Gold matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sibir Novosibirsk.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Sibir Novosibirsk
30%
Draws
23%
D. Bryansk
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sibir Novosibirsk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Sibir Novosibirsk at 1.52 per game, D. Bryansk at 1.1.
  • Model gives Sibir Novosibirsk a 47% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Sibir Novosibirsk Clean Sheet 20%
D. Bryansk Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sibir Novosibirsk D. Bryansk
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 14 14
Draws 7 7
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.52 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Sibir Novosibirsk vs D. Bryansk
2:0
Aug 8, 2026 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
D. Bryansk vs Sibir Novosibirsk
1:0
Apr 29, 2012 FNL
Sibir Novosibirsk vs D. Bryansk
0:0
Mar 27, 2012 FNL
D. Bryansk vs Sibir Novosibirsk
1:0
Oct 3, 2011 FNL
D. Bryansk vs Sibir Novosibirsk
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sibir Novosibirsk Compare

Top Goalscorer Nikolaev O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kobyalko A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

D. Bryansk Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sibir Novosibirsk 85 / 100
D. Bryansk 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sibir Novosibirsk D. Bryansk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sibir Novosibirsk Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sibir Novosibirsk's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

D. Bryansk has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Sibir Novosibirsk stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 1.20 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Sibir Novosibirsk VS D. Bryansk
1.63 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sibir Novosibirsk

(Home)
04 Oct
Sibir Novosibirsk
2 : 0
D. Bryansk
27 Sept
Rodina Moscow 2
1 : 3
Sibir Novosibirsk
20 Sept
Sibir Novosibirsk
3 : 0
Kaluga
12 Sept
Sibir Novosibirsk
0 : 0
Alania Vladikavkaz
06 Sept
Mashuk
3 : 1
Sibir Novosibirsk
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D. Bryansk

(Away)
04 Oct
Sibir Novosibirsk
2 : 0
D. Bryansk
27 Sept
D. Bryansk
1 : 1
Dynamo Vladivostok
20 Sept
Alania Vladikavkaz
0 : 2
D. Bryansk
13 Sept
D. Bryansk
0 : 1
Kirov
05 Sept
Saratov
2 : 2
D. Bryansk
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rodina Moscow 2 12 8 2 2 23:10 26
2 Kirov 13 7 3 3 14:10 24
3 Alania Vladikavkaz 13 4 6 3 17:12 18
4 Sibir Novosibirsk 12 5 3 4 17:14 18
5 D. Bryansk 12 4 4 4 11:15 16
6 Mashuk 13 2 9 2 9:9 15
7 Dynamo Vladivostok 12 3 5 4 8:9 14
8 FC Volgar-Astrakhan 12 1 9 2 12:13 12
9 Saratov 12 1 6 5 10:19 9
10 Kaluga 13 0 7 6 6:16 7
Promotion - FNL 2 - Division A Gold (Spring Season)
Relegation - FNL 2 - Division A Silver (Spring Season)