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Sibir Novosibirsk vs Kaluga - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division A Gold Stadion Spartak, Novosibirsk
Our Tip

Match Events

27'
Tashaev R.
28' Event
Kobyalko A.
(Penalty)
34' Event
Nikolaev O.

AI Match Summary

The FNL 2 - Division A Gold game between Sibir Novosibirsk and Kaluga finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sibir Novosibirsk.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Sibir Novosibirsk
30%
Draws
12%
Kaluga
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sibir Novosibirsk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Sibir Novosibirsk carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Sibir Novosibirsk's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular FNL 2 - Division A Gold form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Sibir Novosibirsk have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Sibir Novosibirsk Clean Sheet 68%
Kaluga Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sibir Novosibirsk Kaluga
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 7
Draws 7 11
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.52 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.17 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Sibir Novosibirsk vs Kaluga
3:0
Jul 26, 2026 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Kaluga vs Sibir Novosibirsk
0:1
Jun 7, 2026 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Sibir Novosibirsk vs Kaluga
1:0
Apr 19, 2026 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Kaluga vs Sibir Novosibirsk
1:2
Jun 7, 2025 FNL 2 - Division A Silver
Sibir Novosibirsk vs Kaluga
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sibir Novosibirsk Compare

Top Goalscorer Nikolaev O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Stepanov K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Kaluga Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sibir Novosibirsk 95 / 100
Kaluga 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sibir Novosibirsk Kaluga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sibir Novosibirsk Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sibir Novosibirsk's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Kaluga has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Sibir Novosibirsk has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sibir Novosibirsk VS Kaluga
1.63 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sibir Novosibirsk

(Home)
04 Oct
Sibir Novosibirsk
2 : 0
D. Bryansk
27 Sept
Rodina Moscow 2
1 : 3
Sibir Novosibirsk
20 Sept
Sibir Novosibirsk
3 : 0
Kaluga
12 Sept
Sibir Novosibirsk
0 : 0
Alania Vladikavkaz
06 Sept
Mashuk
3 : 1
Sibir Novosibirsk
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Kaluga

(Away)
10 Oct
Kaluga
0 : 0
Mashuk
04 Oct
Rodina Moscow 2
3 : 0
Kaluga
27 Sept
Kaluga
1 : 2
Kirov
20 Sept
Sibir Novosibirsk
3 : 0
Kaluga
13 Sept
Kaluga
1 : 1
Dynamo Vladivostok
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rodina Moscow 2 12 8 2 2 23:10 26
2 Kirov 13 7 3 3 14:10 24
3 Alania Vladikavkaz 13 4 6 3 17:12 18
4 Sibir Novosibirsk 12 5 3 4 17:14 18
5 D. Bryansk 12 4 4 4 11:15 16
6 Mashuk 13 2 9 2 9:9 15
7 Dynamo Vladivostok 12 3 5 4 8:9 14
8 FC Volgar-Astrakhan 12 1 9 2 12:13 12
9 Saratov 12 1 6 5 10:19 9
10 Kaluga 13 0 7 6 6:16 7
Promotion - FNL 2 - Division A Gold (Spring Season)
Relegation - FNL 2 - Division A Silver (Spring Season)