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Sibir Novosibirsk vs Kirov - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division A Gold Stadion Spartak, Novosibirsk
Our Tip

Match Events

4'
Burkov A.
10'
Yangaev A.
13' Event
Lauk M.

AI Match Summary

Kirov in this FNL 2 - Division A Gold matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kirov.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Sibir Novosibirsk
20%
Draws
40%
Kirov
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Kirov have won more games recently than Sibir Novosibirsk.
  • Win probability leans Sibir Novosibirsk's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Sibir Novosibirsk Clean Sheet 68%
Kirov Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sibir Novosibirsk Kirov
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 14 17
Draws 7 9
Losses 8 4
Goals Scored 1.52 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.17 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Sibir Novosibirsk vs Kirov
0:1
Oct 19, 2025 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Kirov vs Sibir Novosibirsk
2:1
Aug 24, 2025 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Sibir Novosibirsk vs Kirov
4:1
Jun 15, 2025 FNL 2 - Division A Silver
Kirov vs Sibir Novosibirsk
1:2
Mar 1, 2025 FNL 2 - Division A Silver
Sibir Novosibirsk vs Kirov
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sibir Novosibirsk Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Kirov Compare

Top Goalscorer Lauk M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sibir Novosibirsk 50 / 100
Kirov 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sibir Novosibirsk Kirov

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sibir Novosibirsk Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sibir Novosibirsk's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Sibir Novosibirsk has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Kirov conceded in 47% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Sibir Novosibirsk VS Kirov
1.63 Goals Scored 1.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sibir Novosibirsk

(Home)
04 Oct
Sibir Novosibirsk
2 : 0
D. Bryansk
27 Sept
Rodina Moscow 2
1 : 3
Sibir Novosibirsk
20 Sept
Sibir Novosibirsk
3 : 0
Kaluga
12 Sept
Sibir Novosibirsk
0 : 0
Alania Vladikavkaz
06 Sept
Mashuk
3 : 1
Sibir Novosibirsk
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Kirov

(Away)
10 Oct
Kirov
0 : 1
Alania Vladikavkaz
04 Oct
Mashuk
1 : 1
Kirov
27 Sept
Kaluga
1 : 2
Kirov
21 Sept
Kirov
3 : 1
Saratov
13 Sept
D. Bryansk
0 : 1
Kirov
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rodina Moscow 2 12 8 2 2 23:10 26
2 Kirov 13 7 3 3 14:10 24
3 Alania Vladikavkaz 13 4 6 3 17:12 18
4 Sibir Novosibirsk 12 5 3 4 17:14 18
5 D. Bryansk 12 4 4 4 11:15 16
6 Mashuk 13 2 9 2 9:9 15
7 Dynamo Vladivostok 12 3 5 4 8:9 14
8 FC Volgar-Astrakhan 12 1 9 2 12:13 12
9 Saratov 12 1 6 5 10:19 9
10 Kaluga 13 0 7 6 6:16 7
Promotion - FNL 2 - Division A Gold (Spring Season)
Relegation - FNL 2 - Division A Silver (Spring Season)