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Sibir Novosibirsk vs Rodina Moscow 2 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division A Gold Stadion Spartak, Novosibirsk
Our Tip

Match Events

16'
Khorin A. A.
28' Event
Khorin A. A.
(Penalty)
41' Event
Maltsev M.

AI Match Summary

The FNL 2 - Division A Gold game between Sibir Novosibirsk and Rodina Moscow 2 finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rodina Moscow 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Sibir Novosibirsk
15%
Draws
40%
Rodina Moscow 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sibir Novosibirsk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Rodina Moscow 2 haven't matched Sibir Novosibirsk's recent run of results.
  • 45% — that's where the model lands on Sibir Novosibirsk taking it.
  • Regular FNL 2 - Division A Gold form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Sibir Novosibirsk Clean Sheet 68%
Rodina Moscow 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sibir Novosibirsk Rodina Moscow 2
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 14 11
Draws 7 8
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.52 1.46
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Rodina Moscow 2 vs Sibir Novosibirsk
1:3
Aug 2, 2026 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Sibir Novosibirsk vs Rodina Moscow 2
1:3
May 17, 2026 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Rodina Moscow 2 vs Sibir Novosibirsk
1:1
Mar 29, 2026 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Sibir Novosibirsk vs Rodina Moscow 2
1:0
Apr 24, 2024 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Sibir Novosibirsk vs Rodina Moscow 2
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sibir Novosibirsk Compare

Top Goalscorer Chikanchi M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Rodina Moscow 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Maltsev M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ushakov E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sibir Novosibirsk 59 / 100
Rodina Moscow 2 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sibir Novosibirsk Rodina Moscow 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sibir Novosibirsk Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sibir Novosibirsk scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Rodina Moscow 2 has conceded goals in 64% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Solid form: Sibir Novosibirsk remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sibir Novosibirsk VS Rodina Moscow 2
1.63 Goals Scored 2.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Sibir Novosibirsk

(Home)
04 Oct
Sibir Novosibirsk
2 : 0
D. Bryansk
27 Sept
Rodina Moscow 2
1 : 3
Sibir Novosibirsk
20 Sept
Sibir Novosibirsk
3 : 0
Kaluga
12 Sept
Sibir Novosibirsk
0 : 0
Alania Vladikavkaz
06 Sept
Mashuk
3 : 1
Sibir Novosibirsk
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Rodina Moscow 2

(Away)
04 Oct
Rodina Moscow 2
3 : 0
Kaluga
27 Sept
Rodina Moscow 2
1 : 3
Sibir Novosibirsk
20 Sept
Dynamo Vladivostok
0 : 1
Rodina Moscow 2
12 Sept
Rodina Moscow 2
3 : 1
Mashuk
05 Sept
Kirov
3 : 2
Rodina Moscow 2
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rodina Moscow 2 12 8 2 2 23:10 26
2 Kirov 13 7 3 3 14:10 24
3 Alania Vladikavkaz 13 4 6 3 17:12 18
4 Sibir Novosibirsk 12 5 3 4 17:14 18
5 D. Bryansk 12 4 4 4 11:15 16
6 Mashuk 13 2 9 2 9:9 15
7 Dynamo Vladivostok 12 3 5 4 8:9 14
8 FC Volgar-Astrakhan 12 1 9 2 12:13 12
9 Saratov 12 1 6 5 10:19 9
10 Kaluga 13 0 7 6 6:16 7
Promotion - FNL 2 - Division A Gold (Spring Season)
Relegation - FNL 2 - Division A Silver (Spring Season)