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Sibir Novosibirsk vs Saratov - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division A Gold Stadion Spartak, Novosibirsk
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
10:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sibir Novosibirsk host Saratov in the FNL 2 - Division A Gold. Little to choose between these two on current form. Sibir Novosibirsk have averaged 1.52 scored and 1.17 conceded recently, against Saratov's 0.89 scored and 1.64 conceded. Head-to-head, Sibir Novosibirsk have won 1 to Saratov's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Aug 22, 2026, ending 2:2. The numbers (1.81 xG vs 1.13) point toward Sibir Novosibirsk. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Sibir Novosibirsk
30%
Draws
12%
Saratov
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sibir Novosibirsk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sibir Novosibirsk come out ahead of Saratov on wins alone.
  • Model gives Sibir Novosibirsk a 58% chance of winning this.
  • Regular FNL 2 - Division A Gold form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Sibir Novosibirsk Clean Sheet 20%
Saratov Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sibir Novosibirsk Saratov
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 14 7
Draws 7 7
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 1.52 0.89
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.64
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Saratov vs Sibir Novosibirsk
2:2
Mar 26, 2017 FNL
Sibir Novosibirsk vs Saratov
1:0
Aug 28, 2016 FNL
Saratov vs Sibir Novosibirsk
1:1
Nov 29, 2015 FNL
Saratov vs Sibir Novosibirsk
2:0
Aug 10, 2015 FNL
Sibir Novosibirsk vs Saratov
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sibir Novosibirsk 85 / 100
Saratov 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sibir Novosibirsk Saratov

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sibir Novosibirsk Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sibir Novosibirsk's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Saratov's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Sibir Novosibirsk went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sibir Novosibirsk VS Saratov
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Sibir Novosibirsk

(Home)
04 Oct
Sibir Novosibirsk
2 : 0
D. Bryansk
27 Sept
Rodina Moscow 2
1 : 3
Sibir Novosibirsk
20 Sept
Sibir Novosibirsk
3 : 0
Kaluga
12 Sept
Sibir Novosibirsk
0 : 0
Alania Vladikavkaz
06 Sept
Mashuk
3 : 1
Sibir Novosibirsk
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Saratov

(Away)
04 Oct
Alania Vladikavkaz
2 : 0
Saratov
27 Sept
Saratov
0 : 0
Mashuk
21 Sept
Kirov
3 : 1
Saratov
13 Sept
FC Volgar-Astrakhan
1 : 1
Saratov
09 Sept
Saratov
1 : 2
Leningradets
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rodina Moscow 2 12 8 2 2 23:10 26
2 Kirov 12 7 3 2 14:9 24
3 Sibir Novosibirsk 12 5 3 4 17:14 18
4 D. Bryansk 12 4 4 4 11:15 16
5 Alania Vladikavkaz 12 3 6 3 16:12 15
6 Dynamo Vladivostok 12 3 5 4 8:9 14
7 Mashuk 12 2 8 2 9:9 14
8 FC Volgar-Astrakhan 12 1 9 2 12:13 12
9 Saratov 12 1 6 5 10:19 9
10 Kaluga 12 0 6 6 6:16 6
Promotion - FNL 2 - Division A Gold (Spring Season)
Relegation - FNL 2 - Division A Silver (Spring Season)