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Sibir Novosibirsk vs Veles Moscow

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division A Gold 2025/2026 Stadion Spartak
Our Tip

Match Events

20'
Geloyan I.
22'
Sub
Krotov A. In: Laptev V.
Out: Krotov A.
24'
Mitsaev R.

AI Match Summary

Sibir Novosibirsk host Veles Moscow in the FNL 2 - Division A Gold 2025/2026. Little to choose between these two on current form. Sibir Novosibirsk have averaged 1.38 scored and 1.13 conceded recently, against Veles Moscow's 1.13 scored and 1 conceded. Head-to-head, Sibir Novosibirsk have won 2 to Veles Moscow's 3, with 0 draws. They last met on Jun 21, 2026, ending 2:1. xG projections (1.19 - 1.13) back Veles Moscow to edge this. Veles Moscow in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Sibir Novosibirsk
30%
Draws
34%
Veles Moscow
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sibir Novosibirsk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Veles Moscow has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Sibir Novosibirsk.
  • Model forecasts a 36% win probability edge for Sibir Novosibirsk.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in FNL 2 - Division A Gold 2025/2026 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Sibir Novosibirsk Clean Sheet 20%
Veles Moscow Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sibir Novosibirsk Veles Moscow
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 11 13
Draws 6 6
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.38 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.13 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 21, 2026 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Sibir Novosibirsk vs Veles Moscow
2:1
Jun 17, 2026 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Veles Moscow vs Sibir Novosibirsk
4:1
May 27, 2026 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Sibir Novosibirsk vs Veles Moscow
1:0
Apr 8, 2026 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Veles Moscow vs Sibir Novosibirsk
2:0
Nov 9, 2025 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Sibir Novosibirsk vs Veles Moscow
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sibir Novosibirsk Compare

Top Goalscorer Pokotylo D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Veles Moscow Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sibir Novosibirsk 36 / 100
Veles Moscow 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sibir Novosibirsk Veles Moscow

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sibir Novosibirsk scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Veles Moscow let in goals in 54% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Sibir Novosibirsk went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Veles Moscow lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sibir Novosibirsk VS Veles Moscow
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Leningradets18104423:2334
2Tekstilshtik18102629:1832
3Sibir Novosibirsk1895428:2032
4Veles Moscow1884620:1228
5Mashuk18511220:1326
6FC Volgar-Astrakhan1866621:1924
7Kaluga1855817:2020
8Rodina Moscow 21847720:2319
9Torpedo Miass1837813:2316
10Irtysh Omsk18171011:3110