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Stadium Background

Sibir Novosibirsk vs Veles Moscow

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division A Gold 2025/2026 Stadion Spartak, Novosibirsk
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Kobyalko A.
18'
Nosov A.
45' Event
Kobyalko A.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Sibir Novosibirsk advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Sibir Novosibirsk
28%
Draws
22%
Veles Moscow
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Sibir Novosibirsk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Veles Moscow's 1.25 goals per match outpaces what Sibir Novosibirsk have produced (1.13).
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Sibir Novosibirsk taking it.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Sibir Novosibirsk, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Sibir Novosibirsk Clean Sheet 68%
Veles Moscow Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sibir Novosibirsk Veles Moscow
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 13 13
Draws 6 5
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.13 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 21, 2026 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Sibir Novosibirsk vs Veles Moscow
2:1
Jun 17, 2026 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Veles Moscow vs Sibir Novosibirsk
4:1
May 27, 2026 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Sibir Novosibirsk vs Veles Moscow
1:0
Apr 8, 2026 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Veles Moscow vs Sibir Novosibirsk
2:0
Nov 9, 2025 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Sibir Novosibirsk vs Veles Moscow
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sibir Novosibirsk Compare

Top Goalscorer Kobyalko A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Veles Moscow Compare

Top Goalscorer Tarasenko Z.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sibir Novosibirsk 59 / 100
Veles Moscow 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sibir Novosibirsk Veles Moscow

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SIB Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sibir Novosibirsk scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Sibir Novosibirsk has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Veles Moscow has conceded goals in 54% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sibir Novosibirsk VS Veles Moscow
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sibir Novosibirsk

(Home)
26 Jul
Kaluga
0 : 1
Sibir Novosibirsk
19 Jul
Dynamo Vladivostok
1 : 2
Sibir Novosibirsk
21 Jun
Sibir Novosibirsk
2 : 1
Veles Moscow
17 Jun
Veles Moscow
4 : 1
Sibir Novosibirsk
13 Jun
FC Volgar-Astrakhan
1 : 1
Sibir Novosibirsk
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Veles Moscow

(Away)
26 Jul
Yenisey
4 : 1
Veles Moscow
19 Jul
Veles Moscow
1 : 0
Chelyabinsk
11 Jul
Neftekhimik
0 : 1
Veles Moscow
04 Jul
SKA Khabarovsk
2 : 2
Veles Moscow
02 Jul
Veles Moscow
0 : 2
Ulyanovsk
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Sibir Novosibirsk3
Veles Moscow5